Doktorarbeit / Dissertation, 2020
179 Seiten, Note: 88.8
This research aims to explore the conditions necessary for achieving a sustainable energy regime in Ivory Coast by 2030. This study analyzes the energy consumption patterns and identifies potential solutions through forecasting models, alternative energy scenarios, and multi-criteria decision analysis.
This chapter introduces the research context and its relevance, setting the stage for the study's objectives and framework. It also highlights the significance of the research and its contribution to knowledge.
This chapter presents a comprehensive overview of existing research on energy demand forecasting, multi-criteria decision analysis, and renewable energy consumption within the context of sustainable development. It compares the findings of this study with previous works.
This chapter provides a detailed analysis of the energy sector in Ivory Coast, covering the organization of the sector, energy resources, supply and demand dynamics, power sector and energy access, and economic and demographic trends.
This chapter presents the results of the forecast model employed to predict energy consumption by 2030 in Ivory Coast. It discusses the methodological approach, data description, and the key findings of the model.
The central themes and concepts explored in this work include energy demand, energy forecasting, sustainable energy, energy planning, renewable energy, multi-criteria decision analysis, national energy action plans, Ivory Coast, and West Africa.
The research investigates the conditions necessary to achieve a sustainable energy regime in Ivory Coast by the year 2030, focusing on universal access and renewable energy integration.
The study employed a hybrid method combining Support Vector Regression (SVR) and an Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model to forecast energy demand up to 2030.
By 2030, conventional fuels are expected to dominate the transport and industrial sectors, while traditional forms of energy are likely to remain prevalent in the residential sector.
Solar energy was identified as the most preferred renewable energy source when considering a sustainable energy path for Ivory Coast.
A NEAP is a strategic roadmap designed using multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA) to guide policy-makers in achieving energy efficiency and expanding renewable energy dissemination.
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