Bachelorarbeit, 2021
62 Seiten, Note: 1,0
1 Introduction
2 Literature Review
3 Data & Methodologies
3.1 Data
3.2 Methodology
3.2.1 General Setup
3.2.2 Estimation of Expected Returns
3.2.3 Estimation of Abnormal Returns
3.2.4 Testing of Hypotheses
4 Empirical Results
5 Discussion and Interpretation
5.1 Setup
5.2 Acquiring Shareholders
5.3 Target Shareholders
6 Conclusion
This thesis investigates the impact of merger and acquisition (M&A) deal announcements on the wealth of shareholders in the U.S. Technology, Media & Telecommunications (TMT) sector. By conducting an event study across three distinct time frames between 2000 and 2019, the research aims to determine whether observed market-wide trends in cumulative abnormal returns (CARs) are present within this specific industry and how they have evolved over time, particularly for "mega-deals".
3.2.4 Testing of Hypotheses
Having now estimated the ARs, CARs, and aggregate CARs over time and across all firm stocks, the testing of hypotheses can be conducted. Four distinct hypotheses are tested, of which the third and fourth are the main hypotheses of this thesis, at a significance level of 5%.
Hypothesis 1 (H0): CARi(τ1, τ2) = 0: Deal announcement has no effect on the average of the returns for each single firm stock during the event period L2.
Hypothesis 2 (H1): ARit = 0: Deal announcement has no effect on the returns for every firm stock on any single day during the event period L2.
Hypothesis 3 (H2): CARacq(τ1, τ2) = 0: Deal announcement does not affect the average of the returns for acquiring firms.
Hypothesis 4 (H3): CARtar(τ1, τ2) = 0: Deal announcement does not affect the average of the returns for target firms.
For the first hypothesis H0, the standardized cumulative abnormal returns (SCARs) are used as a test statistic (cf. Campbell et al., 1997, p.160.). This test statistic is illustrated in Equation 3.12.
1 Introduction: Introduces the research question regarding the wealth effects of M&As on shareholders and outlines the thesis's focus on the U.S. TMT sector across three time periods.
2 Literature Review: Provides a comprehensive overview of historical and contemporary corporate finance literature concerning the impact of M&A announcements on stock returns.
3 Data & Methodologies: Details the criteria for the selected deal sample and explains the event study methodology, including the market model and hypothesis testing framework.
4 Empirical Results: Presents the calculated CARs and the statistical significance of the findings for acquiring and target firms across the analyzed time frames.
5 Discussion and Interpretation: Analyzes the empirical results, exploring potential explanations such as synergy expectations, competition, and corporate governance reforms.
6 Conclusion: Summarizes the key findings and contributions of the thesis, noting that post-GFC trends in the TMT sector partially diverge from broader market observations.
Mergers and Acquisitions, M&A, TMT Sector, Corporate Finance, Stock Returns, Abnormal Returns, AR, Cumulative Abnormal Returns, CAR, Event Study, Mega-deals, Great Financial Crisis, GFC, Market Efficiency, Shareholder Wealth.
The work examines the impact of M&A deal announcements on the stock returns of acquiring and target firms within the U.S. Technology, Media & Telecommunications (TMT) sector.
The research focuses on corporate finance, specifically shareholder value creation, market efficiency, the impact of M&A mega-deals, and the influence of governance reforms.
The goal is to investigate whether observed trends in cumulative abnormal returns (CARs) following M&A announcements, seen in the broader market post-GFC, are also applicable to the U.S. TMT industry over three distinct time periods.
The research employs an event study methodology as defined by MacKinlay (1997), using the market model to calculate abnormal returns and testing significance via standardized abnormal returns and CARs.
The main body covers the selection of data, the methodological setup for calculating abnormal returns, empirical results for three time frames, and a detailed discussion interpreting these results through the lens of synergy expectations and regulatory impacts.
Key terms include M&A, TMT sector, event study, CARs, mega-deals, corporate governance, and shareholder wealth.
The findings suggest that the U.S. TMT sector shows unique characteristics where acquiring shareholders experience positive CARs in the post-post-GFC period, contradicting broader research that indicates a return to negative levels.
Mega-deals (USD 500m+) are the primary focus because they historically represent a significant portion of M&A activity and have been shown in prior research to exhibit the most pronounced CAR shifts.
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