Masterarbeit, 2007
96 Seiten, Note: 2,6
1 Summary introduction
1.1 Rationale
1.2 Research question and aim of the paper
1.3 Theories, state of the art, and academic method
2 Mexico, a developing country in a emerging region
2.1 Mexico’s economic development since the Tequila crisis
2.1.1 Increased regional integration and free trade
2.1.2 Liberalization and foreign direct investments
2.1.3 Crude oil sales & transfers from foreign Mexicans
2.2 Political and legal improvements were making the way
2.3 Mexico’s poverty, demographics, and society changes
2.4 Summary of significant developments since 1994
3 The Mexican housing market
3.1 Three-fold weak grounds, but significant growth potential
3.1.1 General, systemic housing shortage
3.1.2 Under-supply with mortgages since 1994
3.1.3 Severe under-capitalization of housing developers
3.2 Customer segmentation in the market
3.2.1 Affordable entry-level homes for low-incomes
3.2.2 Residential housing for a growing middle class
3.2.3 Luxury housing for the top earners
3.3 Change in the customer base
3.3.1 Changes and growth of Mexico’s population
3.3.2 A changing society demands individual housing
3.3.3 Mexico’s economic success leads to a higher demand
3.4 Poor performance of the housing sector
3.5 Summary on reasons, segments and changes in housing
4 Driving forces for the increase of the Mexican housing base
4.1 Governmental motivations
4.1.1 Main aim: extend and keep social stability
4.1.2 Catering for a growing middle class
4.1.3 Support for further economic development
4.2 Motivations of international financial actors
4.2.1 Mainly politically motivated actors
4.2.2 Mainly economically motivated actors
4.3 Governmental vehicles of motivation and work
4.3.1 Federal mortgage society
4.3.2 Federal pension funds
4.4 Summary on the Mexican housing structure
5 Foreign involvement and motivation in Mexican housing
5.1 Politically motivated international actors
5.1.1 World Bank and International Financial Corporation
5.1.2 Inter-American Development Bank
5.2 Economically motivated financial actors
5.2.1 Foreign commercial banks including local subsidiaries
5.2.2 Mutual funds and private equity
5.3 Interactions and summary on foreign involvement
6 Assessment of the situation and potential obstacles
7 Conclusion and ideas beyond
This thesis examines the development of the Mexican low- and middle-income housing market following the 1994 economic crisis, analyzing the interplay between national policy changes, economic stabilization, and the influential role of foreign investors and international financial actors in shaping this sector.
3.1.1 General, systemic housing shortage
“Mexico has a shortfall of over five million homes today and the number of willing buyers per year continues to exceed that of the home production.” The deficit comprises of one million families that do not have a home, 1.3 million homes in need of full replacement, and 2.7 million families that live in homes with significant deficiencies. According to the same source, the sub-standard quality of many homes, the continuing population growth including the aging population the significant changes in society, and the strong under-supply with mortgages especially since 1994 are to be blamed for a grown shortage in Mexican housing.
Today, this development is fuelled by an ever growing middle-class with better financial abilities, the trend towards smaller family sizes, and the fact that many Mexicans soon enter the house forming age. Also, parents are now more able to save and later pass on something (i.e. a piece of real estate) to their heirs.
Moreover, this is strongly linked with (1) the generally still small availability of mortgages to private customers in order to finance new homes. (2) The fact that the Mexican population is growing at a faster pace than the housing market is producing and financing new homes. And finally, (3) the massive under-capitalization of housing development companies. However, this housing shortage does not necessarily mean that the affected people are actually out on the streets, but that they are living in sub-standard housing or just overcrowded places.
1 Summary introduction: This chapter introduces the focus of the thesis, which investigates the growth of the Mexican low- and middle-income housing sector since 1994, driven by internal reforms and external investment.
2 Mexico, a developing country in a emerging region: The chapter explores Mexico’s economic and political transition, highlighting its integration into global markets through NAFTA and the shift towards market-oriented policies.
3 The Mexican housing market: It details the housing shortage, the segmentation of the market, and the critical role of demographics and changing consumer demands.
4 Driving forces for the increase of the Mexican housing base: This section evaluates governmental motivations and the role of financial actors in boosting the housing supply through infrastructure and financing.
5 Foreign involvement and motivation in Mexican housing: It analyzes how international financial and political actors exercise influence and provide capital to modernize and stabilize the housing finance system.
6 Assessment of the situation and potential obstacles: The author discusses current hurdles such as infrastructure maintenance, environmental sustainability, and the need for better land use planning.
7 Conclusion and ideas beyond: The final chapter synthesizes the findings, offering an outlook on future trends like 'green' housing and the long-term necessity of structural and fiscal reforms.
Mexico, Housing Market, Mortgage Finance, Tequila Crisis, NAFTA, Economic Development, Foreign Direct Investment, INFONAVIT, FOVISSSTE, SHF, Urbanization, Social Stability, Globalization, Middle Class, Housing Deficit
This thesis explores the dramatic evolution of Mexico's low- and middle-income housing market from the 1994 Peso crisis to 2007, emphasizing how national policies and international actors facilitated this sector's growth.
The core themes include the systemic housing deficit in Mexico, the revitalization of mortgage financing through federal agencies, the impact of international investment (FDI), and the socio-economic transition of the Mexican population.
The paper asks how the Mexican housing market developed after 1994, what factors drove this transformation, what influence international actors exerted, and how the sector can be sustainably developed in the future.
The study is a theory-proposing case study that combines academic literature, empirical data, and first-hand insights gained from interviews with industry experts, business leaders, and policymakers.
The main body examines the economic development of Mexico, the structural challenges of the housing industry (shortage, under-capitalization), customer segmentation, and the strategies of governmental and private international stakeholders.
Key terms include Mexico, housing market, mortgage finance, NAFTA, foreign direct investment, demographics, and social stability.
INFONAVIT acts as a major government-mandated pension fund that serves as a primary mortgage provider for private sector workers, significantly impacting the affordability and volume of housing loans.
The 1994 Peso crisis caused a collapse in banking and a drying up of private mortgage financing, which forced the federal government to intervene and take a more active role in the housing supply and finance system.
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