Bachelorarbeit, 2009
26 Seiten, Note: 8
INTRODUCTION
RESEARCH DESIGN
THE OPIUM ECONOMY IN AFGHANISTAN
THE OPIUM POPPY
FARMER MOTIVATIONS
THE LED PROJECT – POPPY FOR MEDICINE
LED - IMPORTANCE AND IMPLICATIONS
POPPY FOR MEDICINE IN PRACTICE
Project architecture.
Provisions for security and control.
Economic benefits at the village level.
Sociological rationales.
DISCUSSING POPPY FOR MEDICINE
ECONOMIC FEASIBILITY
The fallacy of demand
The dilemma of competitiveness
SECURITY FEASIBILITY
CONCLUSION
REFERENCES
This paper evaluates the feasibility of a licensing system for opium poppy cultivation in rural Afghanistan aimed at pharmaceutical production, examining its potential to foster local economic development while critically assessing significant political, security, and economic risks.
The dilemma of competitiveness
Avowedly, it may be seductive to believe that Afghan farmers are quite possibly rich in expertise in opium poppy cultivation and given the country’s relatively abundant resources (with unemployment rates of up to 40%), large-scale efficient morphine production below the average cost of other competing countries seems an achievable target at first sight.
However, it promptly turns out that this assumption rests on false premises when considering the worldwide licit opium production systems. As a matter of fact, of the more than nineteen countries that currently cultivate opium poppy legally, only four apply the same production and harvesting methods as Afghanistan currently does. In this light, it is important to understand that morphine can be extracted from both opium and so called poppy straw (Mansfield, 2001). While Afghanistan (and India) currently rely on the traditional methods of raw opium extraction, which require abundant availability of cheap labour to be economically viable, more advanced economies such as Australia may utilize on the latter method, producing concentrate of poppy straw (CPS), which is a far less costly in economic terms. Yet, as this method requires sophisticated mechanised agriculture and abundant water inputs, it would not be an option for Afghanistan farmers to be utilized in the short- and medium-term.
INTRODUCTION: Outlines the scope of the study regarding the feasibility of a licensing system for poppy cultivation for pharmaceutical purposes in Afghanistan and identifies the central research focus.
RESEARCH DESIGN: Details the methodology, noting the reliance on secondary literature from international organizations and NGOs to analyze the management and policy dilemma.
THE OPIUM ECONOMY IN AFGHANISTAN: Provides background on poppy cultivation techniques, the role of morphine, and the socio-economic motivations driving Afghan farmers to choose poppy over traditional crops.
THE LED PROJECT – POPPY FOR MEDICINE: Explains the "Poppy for Medicine" (P4M) project architecture, including security, control provisions, and potential economic benefits for village communities.
DISCUSSING POPPY FOR MEDICINE: Critically evaluates the P4M proposal by analyzing economic viability, the fallacy of demand, and the lack of necessary security infrastructure to sustain such a project.
CONCLUSION: Summarizes that while P4M is a well-intentioned concept, structural, economic, and security obstacles make its short-term success highly unlikely, recommending focus on long-term state-building instead.
REFERENCES: Lists the academic, intergovernmental, and policy documents used to support the analysis.
Afghanistan, Opium, Poppy Cultivation, Local Economic Development, Poppy for Medicine, Narcotics, Morphine, Pharmaceutical, Security, Feasibility, Governance, Rural Economy, Supply Chain, International Relations, Agriculture.
The paper explores the feasibility of implementing a licensed opium poppy cultivation system in rural Afghanistan, intended for the production of pharmaceutical morphine.
The work centers on local economic development (LED), the economic feasibility of morphine production, security risks, and the socio-political challenges within the Afghan drug industry.
The primary goal is to critically evaluate whether the "Poppy for Medicine" (P4M) proposal is a viable initiative given the current political, social, and security conditions in Afghanistan.
The author conducts a thorough review of secondary literature, including technical dossiers from international organizations and research think-tanks like the ICOS and the UNODC.
The text covers background on the opium economy, the architectural design of the P4M project, security and control mechanisms, and a critical discussion of economic competitiveness versus risks.
Key terms include Afghanistan, Opium, Poppy Cultivation, Local Economic Development, Poppy for Medicine, Narcotics, and Morphine-based medicines.
The author concludes that while the project is well-intended, it is likely to face failure due to a lack of necessary law enforcement, economic infrastructure, and competitive advantages compared to established producers.
The author questions the effectiveness of shuras as control mechanisms, arguing they are often part of the existing corrupt system rather than a reliable force for law enforcement.
The author points out that Afghanistan lacks the mechanized "poppy straw" processing infrastructure found in countries like Australia, making their traditional labor-intensive method less cost-effective.
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