Masterarbeit, 2024
46 Seiten, Note: 1,7
1 Introduction
2 Literature review
2.1 The principal-agent theory
2.2 Institutional investors
2.3 Stock price synchronicity
2.4 Stock price crash risk
3 Data and methodology
3.1 Sample description
3.2 Variables and proxies
3.3 Regression design and approach
4 Regression results
4.1 Analyzing holding levels and trading of institutional investors
4.2 Institutional ownership and crash risk
4.3 Institutional ownership and crash risk during the financial crisis
4.4 Robustness checks
5 Conclusion
The primary objective of this thesis is to empirically investigate how different investment horizons of institutional investors influence both stock price synchronicity and stock price crash risk within U.S. companies. The research aims to clarify whether long-term institutional investors act as effective monitors who mitigate agency problems, or if their behavior differs significantly from that of short-term, transient institutional investors.
1 Introduction
Over the past two decades, there were repeated corporate scandals, such as the accounting fraud at WorldCom, the bad news hoarding behavior at Enron and many others from Xerox to Wirecard. In the wake of stock price crashes, the number of empirical studies on crash risk has increased rapidly, focusing mainly on the United States (U.S.) and China (Ali et al., 2022). A crash as described occurs when the manager withholds bad news from the investors, leading to an accumulation of firm-specific bad information, which eventually crosses a tipping point where all the bad news is released at once (Hutton et al., 2009; Jin and Myers, 2006). In particular, the global financial crisis showed that this does not necessarily remain an isolated case.
An important factor on the management side is the degree of informational freedom that a company can be managed with. This level of freedom is determined by legal regulations and supervisory authorities as well as the behavior of investors and shareholders. A distinction between control and ownership assumes that firm owners benefit from the actions of the manger, but also bear the risks. To ensure that the manager makes decisions in the interest of the owners, a variety of actions can be taken that influence the decisions. Jensen and Meckling (1976) describe the resulting principal-agent framework as the relationship between managers (agents) and investors (principals), in which several principals hire an agent to perform services on their behalf. The agency problems arising from this relationship and how to mitigate these issues have become an important part of the academic literature.
1 Introduction: Provides the motivation for the study by discussing corporate scandals and the theoretical agency framework regarding institutional investors and their impact on market risks.
2 Literature review: Examines essential theoretical concepts including principal-agent theory, classifications of institutional investors, mechanisms of stock price synchronicity, and factors driving stock price crash risk.
3 Data and methodology: Details the sample selection from the U.S. equity market, defines the proxies for stock price synchronicity and crash risk, and outlines the regression design.
4 Regression results: Presents empirical findings on the relationship between institutional investment horizons, stock price synchronicity, and crash risk, including analysis of the financial crisis period and robustness tests.
5 Conclusion: Summarizes the key empirical evidence regarding the monitoring role of institutional investors and provides a final assessment of the research hypotheses.
Institutional Investors, Principal-Agent Theory, Stock Price Crash Risk, Stock Price Synchronicity, Agency Problems, Information Asymmetry, Market Efficiency, Financial Crisis, Investment Horizon, Corporate Governance, Monitoring, Regression Analysis.
The work focuses on analyzing the impact of institutional investors' investment horizons on stock price synchronicity and stock price crash risk within the U.S. market.
The research is primarily grounded in the principal-agent theory, exploring how institutional monitoring mitigates agency problems.
The thesis investigates whether different types of institutional investors (long-term vs. short-term) influence firm-specific market outcomes like crash risk and synchronicity differently.
The author uses empirical ordinary least squares (OLS) regressions, utilizing firm-level data and fixed-effects models, to test the formulated hypotheses.
The work covers agency theory, the classification of institutional investors, variables such as stock price synchronicity and volatility, and specific impacts during the financial crisis.
It is divided into five main chapters: introduction, literature review, data and methodology, regression results, and the concluding summary.
Long-term investors are categorized as dedicated or passive monitors with larger stakes, while short-term investors are described as transient and prone to selling shares quickly when firm performance is poor.
The financial crisis acts as a natural experiment to observe if institutional monitoring effectiveness changes under conditions of heightened market risk and recession.
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