Examensarbeit, 2010
83 Seiten, Note: 2,0
1 INTRODUCTION
1.1 CONTEXT AND MOTIVATION
1.2 PLAN OF THE WORK
2 THE ELECTRIC POWER MARKET
2.1 ELECTRIC POWER
2.2 AN HISTORICAL OVERVIEW AND DESCRIPTION OF THE ELECTRIC POWER MARKET
2.3 NATURAL MONOPOLY MARKETS
2.3.1 Theory of Natural Monopoly
2.3.2 The US Electric Power Market – A Natural Monopoly
3 ECONOMIC REGULATION
3.1 HISTORICAL OVERVIEW OF ECONOMIC REGULATION
3.2 THE REGULATORY PROCESS
3.3 THEORY OF REGULATION
3.3.1 Normative Analysis as a Positive Theory
3.3.2 Capture Theory
3.3.4 Economic Theory of Regulation
3.3.5 Does Empiricism support the Theories of Regulation?
4 NATURAL MONOPOLY REGULATIONS AND THE ELECTRIC POWER MARKET
4.1 TRADITIONAL RATE-OF-RETURN REGULATION
4.2 AVERCH – JOHNSON EFFECT
4.3 PEAK-LOAD PRICING MODEL
4.4 RAMSEY – BOITEUX PRICING
5 CHANGES IN THE ELECTRIC POWER MARKET
5.1 CRITIQUE OF THE NATURAL MONOPOLY
5.2 DEGENERATION OF THE NATURAL MONOPOLY’S RELEVANCE FOR THE ELECTRIC POWER INDUSTRY
5.3 THE EFFECTS OF TECHNOLOGICAL DEVELOPMENT ON THE RETAIL REGULATION
5.3.1 Digital Communication
5.3.2 Transmission
6 THE DE-REGULATION PROCESS
6.1 POLITICAL CHANGES FAVORING THE DE-REGULATION PROCESS
6.2 THE CONCEPT AND IMPLEMENTATION OF DE-REGULATION
6.3 MARKET MONITORING
6.4 EMPIRICISM FAVORING DE-REGULATION
7 CALIFORNIA’S DE-REGULATION
7.1 CALIFORNIA’S MOTIVATION FOR A RESTRUCTURING OF THE MARKET
7.2 THE CONCEPT AND IMPLEMENTATION OF THE DE-REGULATION
7.3 NEW INSTITUTIONS FOR THE RE-STRUCTURED MARKET
7.4 THE COLLAPSE
7.4.1 The electricity crisis
7.4.2 The financial crisis
7.5 THE SUBSIDENCE OF THE CRISIS AND THE “LIFE AFTER”
7.6 THE CONSEQUENCES FOR THE WHOLE COUNTRY
8 CONCLUSION
The primary objective of this work is to analyze the market structure of the US electric power industry, the historical and theoretical basis for governmental regulation, and the subsequent shift toward de-regulation. The central research question examines how market characteristics, such as natural monopoly features, have influenced regulatory intervention and whether de-regulation has successfully addressed the resulting economic inefficiencies and welfare losses, specifically using the California experience as a case study.
2.3.1 Theory of Natural Monopoly
The natural monopoly is according to Posner (1999, p.1) a special kind of monopoly. He defines that a monopoly is “a firm that is the only seller of a product or service having no close substitute” (Posner, 1999, p.1), which differs from the natural monopoly in a fundamental aspect, as a natural monopoly is only given, if “the entire demand within a relevant market can be satisfied at lowest cost by one firm rather than by two or more, the market is a natural monopoly, whatever the actual number of firms in it.” (Posner, 1999, p.1). Therefore a natural monopoly becomes “natural” if a single firm can produce at lower costs than they could do with competitors.
One characteristic of this market form is that the Long – Run – Average – Costs (LRAC) decline continuously. However, there are further characteristics of natural monopolies that have to be defined. According to Viscusi et. al. (2005, pp. 401 – 408) there are four different characteristics of natural monopolies. The first category differentiates between the permanent and the temporary natural monopoly. The permanent one is characterized by declining LRAC as long as the market is increasing. The higher the quantity produced by a firm, the lower the LRAC. However, a temporary natural monopoly, as the name already suggests, only has declining LRAC up to a certain point. From there on it stays on a constant level. In the case of a temporary natural monopoly the former monopoly can turn into a competitive market. A prime example for this kind of natural monopoly is the railroad industry. During the 1800s it was more or less the only traffic mean that could quickly transport goods by land. By the 1920s, however, trucks were becoming increasingly common. This technological change turned the railroad industry from a permanent to a temporary natural monopoly. Considering this, a permanent natural monopoly is in most cases also just a temporary one, as technological change is unpredictable and can suddenly change the structure of the industry.
1 INTRODUCTION: Outlines the historical context of electricity and the motivation for examining the complex regulatory environment of the US power market.
2 THE ELECTRIC POWER MARKET: Defines electric power characteristics and establishes the industry as a natural monopoly, highlighting the dependency on fixed infrastructure.
3 ECONOMIC REGULATION: Traces the history of regulatory bodies and reviews theoretical frameworks used to justify and explain government intervention.
4 NATURAL MONOPOLY REGULATIONS AND THE ELECTRIC POWER MARKET: Details practical regulatory models, including rate-of-return and peak-load pricing, and their limitations in achieving social welfare maximization.
5 CHANGES IN THE ELECTRIC POWER MARKET: Analyzes the critique of traditional natural monopoly models and how technological advancements have shifted the industry dynamics.
6 THE DE-REGULATION PROCESS: Explores the political movement toward de-regulation and the implementation of new market-monitoring institutions in the US.
7 CALIFORNIA’S DE-REGULATION: Provides an in-depth case study on the California energy crisis, detailing the collapse of the re-structured market.
8 CONCLUSION: Synthesizes the findings, suggesting that while de-regulation is necessary, it requires careful, step-by-step implementation to avoid systemic failures.
Electric Power Market, Natural Monopoly, Economic Regulation, De-regulation, California Energy Crisis, Market Monitoring, Rate-of-Return, Peak-Load Pricing, Public Utilities, Social Welfare, Infrastructure, Wholesale Market, Retail Competition, Transmission, Infrastructure Investment
This thesis examines the regulatory landscape of the US electric power market, investigating how the transition from a regulated natural monopoly to a de-regulated market environment has impacted efficiency and social welfare.
A natural monopoly is a market structure where a single firm can supply the entire market demand at a lower cost than two or more firms could, which historically necessitated government regulation in the electric power industry.
The work explores whether governmental intervention is effective in maximizing social welfare and how the industry should be organized given the unique complexities of electric power supply and demand.
The study utilizes a descriptive and analytical approach, synthesizing economic theories of regulation, historical institutional analysis, and case study research focusing on the California restructuring experience.
California serves as a critical example of the potential failures of partial de-regulation, illustrating how unforeseen factors—such as weather conditions and regulatory mistakes—can lead to severe energy and financial crises.
The thesis argues that technological development, particularly in digital communications and power generation, has reduced the relevance of the traditional natural monopoly model, thereby creating new opportunities for competition.
The author discusses the Normative Analysis (Public Interest Theory), the Capture Theory, and the Economic Theory of Regulation (ET), evaluating their applicability and shortcomings in real-world scenarios.
The Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) is identified as a key nationwide body responsible for regulating interstate trade and overseeing the de-regulation process, including the implementation of open-access transmission.
Pancaking refers to the economic inefficiency where multiple utilities along a power contract path each charge their own separate transaction rates, driving up costs and distorting market-based pricing.
The crisis was caused by a "perfect storm" of factors: rapid economic expansion, rising fuel costs, severe drought affecting hydro generation, and rigid regulatory policies that prevented utilities from adjusting to market realities.
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