Diplomarbeit, 2010
80 Seiten, Note: 2,7
This essay provides a comprehensive analysis of the Renminbi's exchange rate regime, focusing on its development before and after China's entry into the World Trade Organization (WTO). The study aims to explore the advantages and disadvantages of the Yuan's regime throughout China's economic growth, considering factors such as capital export and restrictions, high savings rates, and substantial foreign reserves. Through this analysis, the essay seeks to understand the future of the RMB and its potential trajectory.
The first chapter introduces the topic of the Renminbi's exchange rate regime and provides an overview of the essay's objectives. The second chapter reviews relevant literature on exchange rate regimes, their classifications, and characteristics. Chapter three delves into the historical development of the Chinese exchange rate regime prior to China's WTO entry, examining the fixed exchange rate with the unilateral RMB peg to the U.S. dollar, capital export and controls, and the overvaluation and undervaluation of the RMB. Chapter four explores the further development of the RMB's exchange rate regime after China's WTO accession, including the change in regime, the status quo of capital account liberalization, China's high saving rate and foreign reserves, and the goal and strategy of the RMB.
This study focuses on China's exchange rate regime, the Renminbi (RMB), and its undervaluation. Key concepts include capital controls, foreign exchange reserves, high savings rates, and Yuan revaluation. The study draws on analysis of the RMB's historical development, particularly its trajectory before and after China's WTO accession.
After joining the WTO, China faced increasing pressure to move away from a fixed peg to the U.S. Dollar towards a more flexible basket-based policy.
China maintained an undervalued currency for years to support its export-led growth and maintain a significant trade surplus, leading to global criticism.
The high saving rate contributes to large foreign reserves, which provide the central bank with the resources to manage the exchange rate effectively.
The essay concludes that a sharp rise is unlikely due to the potential negative impact on China's economy; any revaluation would likely be gradual and supported by financial policies.
De Jure refers to the officially announced regime, while De Facto refers to how the currency actually behaves in the market, which often differs in China's case.
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