Diplomarbeit, 2000
86 Seiten, Note: 1,0 (A)
1 INTRODUCTION
2 RATIONALE FOR THE SHAREHOLDER VALUE APPROACH
2.1 VALUE-BASED MANAGEMENT
2.1.1 Shareholder versus Management Interests
2.1.2 The Relation to other Stakeholders
2.2 SHORTCOMINGS OF ACCOUNTING NUMBERS
2.2.1 Unreliable Performance Measurement – Earnings
2.2.1.1 LIFO versus FIFO
2.2.1.2 The Amortization of Goodwill
2.2.1.3 Time Value of Money
2.2.2 Return on Investment (ROI) and Return on Equity (ROE)
2.2.3 Long-term View
2.2.4 Intellectual Capital
3 SHAREHOLDER VALUE ANALYSIS METHODS
3.1 RAPPAPORT’S FRAMEWORK FOR VALUE CREATION
3.1.1 The Estimation of the Cash Flow
3.1.2 Cost of Capital
3.1.2.1 Cost of Equity
3.1.2.1.1 The Risk-Free Rate
3.1.2.1.2 The Market-Risk Premium
3.1.2.1.3 Estimating the Systematic Risk
3.1.2.2 Cost of Debt
3.1.3 Residual Value
3.1.4 Rappaport’s Shareholder Value Network
3.2 COPELAND, KOLLER AND MURRIN APPROACH (MCKINSEY)
3.3 ECONOMIC VALUE ADDED (EVA®)
4 ASSESSMENT OF THE SHAREHOLDER VALUE ANALYSIS METHODS
4.1 SIMILARITIES & DISTINCTIONS
4.2 PROBLEMATIC ISSUES
4.2.1 Information Deficits
4.2.2 Hockey-Stick Effect
4.2.3 Compound Problem
4.2.4 Manipulation Problem
5 PERFORMANCE EVALUATION AND COMPENSATION SYSTEMS
5.1 AGENCY THEORY OVERVIEW
5.2 PRINCIPAL-AGENT CONFLICTS
5.2.1 Adverse Selection
5.2.2 Moral Hazard
5.2.3 The Horizon Problem
5.2.4 Risk Differential Behavior
5.3 COMPENSATION SYSTEMS
5.3.1 Recent Research
5.3.2 Performance Measurement
5.3.3 Stock Options
5.3.3.1 Rewarding Outperformance
5.3.3.2 Including Operating Units and Setting Targets
5.4 E-BUSINESS: A PARADIGM FOR INNOVATIVE PERFORMANCE DRIVEN COMPENSATION SYSTEMS
6 PROSPECT AND DEVELOPMENT
7 CONCLUSION
The primary objective of this work is to explore the concept of shareholder value maximization and to develop a holistic compensation system that aligns the interests of managers with those of the shareholders, thereby mitigating agency costs. The paper evaluates traditional accounting-based performance measures, critiques them for their limitations, and proposes superior value-based management alternatives, such as Shareholder Value Added (SVA) and Economic Value Added (EVA), to better link executive compensation to long-term firm performance.
2.2.1.1 LIFO versus FIFO
In times of rising prices the last in, first out (LIFO) inventory method results in lower earnings than the first in, first out (FIFO) method, because the costs of goods sold is based on the more recent higher costs. This is followed by lower tax payments and more cash accumulation. A number of researchers have looked at how stock price is related to accounting methods. The accounting model implies that switching from FIFO to LIFO should result in a lower share price due to decreased earnings.
Although the evidence is not entirely conclusive, Professor Shyam Sunder demonstrated that companies switching to LIFO experienced on average a 5% increase in market capitalization on the date the change was announced. Investors realized that LIFO would be followed by lower earnings per share, but on the other hand they also knew that the tax savings represent a real improvement in future cash flow for stockholders, and that is what the discounted cash flow model (DCF) predicts. Analysis by a second group of researchers revealed that the increase in the share price mirrored a direct proportion to the present value of the taxes saved by making the switch. These studies provide strong evidence that stock prices are significantly influenced by cash generation, not book earnings.
These findings also prove that a company adopting LIFO will sell for a higher multiple of its earnings than if it used FIFO. The increased multiple is consistent with the increased quality of LIFO earnings; inventory-holding gains are purged from income, and there are also tax savings.
However, as this research implies, a company’s share price depends on the quality as well as the quantity of its earnings, then the accounting model of value fails. The model fails because a company’s P/E multiple is not a primary cause of its stock price: it is a result of it. It is therefore not possible for the accounting model to answer the question: What determines a company’s stock price?
1 INTRODUCTION: This chapter defines the imperative of shareholder value maximization in modern business and introduces the scope of the paper, focusing on the alignment of manager and stockholder interests.
2 RATIONALE FOR THE SHAREHOLDER VALUE APPROACH: This chapter argues for Value-Based Management as a superior alternative to traditional accounting numbers, which are criticized for their inability to properly measure economic wealth creation.
3 SHAREHOLDER VALUE ANALYSIS METHODS: This chapter introduces key valuation methodologies, specifically Rappaport’s Framework, the McKinsey approach, and Economic Value Added (EVA).
4 ASSESSMENT OF THE SHAREHOLDER VALUE ANALYSIS METHODS: This chapter compares the discussed valuation models and addresses practical issues such as information deficits, the "hockey-stick" effect, and complexity in organizational control.
5 PERFORMANCE EVALUATION AND COMPENSATION SYSTEMS: This chapter examines Principal-Agent conflicts and explores how performance-linked compensation systems, including e-business paradigms, can bridge the gap between management incentives and shareholder goals.
6 PROSPECT AND DEVELOPMENT: This chapter highlights the need for further multidisciplinary research into comprehensive compensation measures that reflect firm performance more accurately.
7 CONCLUSION: The final chapter summarizes the necessity of implementing value-based performance measurements and the critical role of aligning compensation contracts to minimize agency costs.
Shareholder Value, Agency Theory, Value-Based Management, Compensation Systems, Discounted Cash Flow, Shareholder Value Added, Economic Value Added, Principal-Agent Conflict, Performance Measurement, Stock Options, Intangible Assets, Corporate Governance, Capital Allocation, Market Value Added, Managerial Incentives.
The paper focuses on the fundamental goal of maximizing shareholder value and investigates how to structure effective compensation systems that align the interests of managers (agents) with those of the company's shareholders (principals) to mitigate agency costs.
The core themes include Value-Based Management, the limitations of traditional accounting metrics (such as EPS), the theoretical framework of agency theory in corporate settings, and the implementation of holistic, value-based compensation plans.
The primary goal is to ensure that managerial rewards are linked directly to actual value creation for shareholders, rather than just short-term stock price movements or accounting profits, by utilizing superior metrics like SVA or EVA.
The paper employs the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) method as a basis, specifically analyzing frameworks provided by Alfred Rappaport, the McKinsey approach (Copeland, Koller, and Murrin), and Stern Stewart’s Economic Value Added (EVA).
The main part of the work covers a critique of traditional accounting, an in-depth technical analysis of valuation methods (including cost of capital and residual value), an analysis of agency problems (like adverse selection and moral hazard), and a discussion on innovative, performance-driven compensation structures.
Key terms include Shareholder Value, Agency Theory, Value-Based Management, SVA, EVA, Principal-Agent Conflict, and performance-based compensation.
The author argues that fixed-price options reward managers even for poor performance during bull markets, whereas indexed stock options tie the exercise price to a benchmark, ensuring that managers are only rewarded when the company actually outperforms its peers or the market.
The "hockey-stick" effect refers to a scenario where projections show stagnant performance followed by a sudden, unrealistic "turnaround" or rapid growth in the later years of a forecast. It is problematic because it often reflects an optimistic bias intended to secure funding or mask poor strategic planning, rather than realistic economic expectations.
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