Masterarbeit, 2010
90 Seiten, Note: M.Phil/PhD
1.1 Background To The Study
1.2 Statement Of The Problem
1.3 Objectives Of The Study
1.4 Justification Of The Study
1.5 Scope Of The Study
1.6 Organization Of The Study
2.1 Introduction
2.2 Overview Of The Nigeria Tax Structure
2.3 Major Federal Government Taxes
2.3.1 Company Income Tax (CIT)
2.3.2 Petroleum Profit Tax (PPT)
2.3.3 Customs and Excise Duties
2.3.4 Value-Added Tax (VAT)
2.4 Tax Structure and Revenue Profile Of Nigeria
2.5 The Relationship Between The Different Taxes And GDP in the Two Structures
3.1 Introduction
3.2 Tax Structure And Economic Growth: Theoretical Issues
3.3 Tax Structure And Economic Growth: Empirical Evidences
4.1 Introduction
4.2 Theoretical Framework
4.2.1 Technologies
4.2.2 Factor endowment
4.2.3 Preferences
4.2.4 The evolution of capital
4.2.5 The Effects Of Taxation
4.2.6 Welfare Effects
4.3 Model Specification
4.4 Methodology And Estimation Procedures
4.5 Time Series Properties Of The Variables
4.5.1 Unit Root Tests
4.5.2 Co integration Tests
4.5.3 Error Correction Term
4.6 Data Types And Sources
5.1 Introduction
5.2 Descriptive Statistics
5.3 Time Series Tests Results
5.3.1 Unit Root Results
5.3.2 Cointegration Tests Results
5.4 Model Estimation Issues And Discussion Of Result
5.5 The Granger Causality Test
5.6 Test for Structural Stability
6.1 Introduction
6.2 Summary Of Major Findings
6.3 Implications For Policy And Recommendations
6.4 Conclusion
6.5 Limitations Of The Study
6.6 Agenda For Further Research
This study investigates the relationship between tax structure and economic growth in Nigeria from 1970 to 2007, specifically evaluating the impact of the transition from pre-VAT to post-VAT regimes to inform future fiscal policy.
1.1 Background to the study:
The increasing size of government coupled with the ongoing global financial meltdown has renewed interest in the study of how the public sector can be used to provide a stimulus thereby remedying the situation and supporting the long-run growth of the Nigerian economy. The argument on how the public sector affects growth is polarized along two schools of thought. Those who believe that the public sector promote growth do so because of the provisions of public goods, the corrections of negative externalities and market failure by government etc. While those who think contrary to this, do so because they reason that taxes generate distortions in the economy and as such lead to lower growth, (Widmalm, 2001). The effect of taxation on growth depends on what is taxed, i.e. if the tax system extracts more or less resources from private agents (the tax level), or because they raise a given amount of revenue in more or less distortive ways (the tax structure), (Arnold, 2008). Taxation is thus, one of the most important variables that affect long term economic growth, but this simple truth has been neglected in the Nigerian economy because the huge revenue generated from oil.
CHAPTER ONE: INTRODUCTION: This chapter provides the contextual background, research problem, and objectives, emphasizing the need to analyze tax structure impacts on Nigerian economic growth.
CHAPTER TWO: OVERVIEW OF THE NIGERIAN TAX SYSTEM AND STRUCTURE: This chapter details the history, jurisdiction, and types of taxes in Nigeria, covering both federal and state revenue sources.
CHAPTER THREE: LITERATURE REVIEW: This chapter synthesizes theoretical and empirical perspectives on the link between taxation and economic growth, drawing on diverse international studies.
CHAPTER FOUR: THEORETICAL FRAMWORK AND METHODOLOGY: This chapter establishes the endogenous growth theoretical framework and explains the econometric models, unit root, cointegration, and estimation procedures employed.
CHAPTER FIVE: PRESENTATION AND DISCURSION OF RESULTS: This chapter presents empirical findings, including descriptive statistics, unit root tests, and cointegration analysis, and discusses the robustness of the models.
CHAPTER SIX: SUMMARY, FINDINGS, CONCLUSION, AND RECOMMENDATIONS: This final chapter summarizes the research, offers policy implications for Nigerian tax reform, and outlines limitations and future research agendas.
Tax Structure, Economic Growth, Nigeria, Value Added Tax (VAT), Endogenous Growth, Econometric Modeling, Cointegration, Error Correction Modeling, Granger Causality, Fiscal Policy, Taxation, Revenue Profile, GDP, Public Sector, Tax Administration.
The study examines the relationship between the tax structure (specifically the distinction between pre-VAT and post-VAT periods) and the economic growth of Nigeria from 1970 to 2007.
The study asks whether tax structures significantly determine economic growth in Nigeria and what the specific implications of these tax policies are for policymakers aiming to spur economic development.
The objective is to investigate how changes in tax structure have contributed to Nigeria's economic growth by characterizing tax revenue profiles and evaluating their impact on real GDP.
The study utilizes econometric modeling, specifically the Vector Auto Regression (VAR) and Error Correction Modeling (ECM) techniques, after conducting unit root and cointegration tests.
It provides an overview of the Nigerian tax system, a comprehensive literature review, the development of an endogenous growth model, and a detailed empirical presentation and discussion of results.
Key concepts include Tax Structure, Economic Growth, Cointegration, Error Correction, and Granger Causality.
The author identifies two distinct periods: the pre-VAT period (1970–1993) and the post-VAT period (1994 onwards), using these to compare tax revenue contributions to total government revenue.
The research concludes that while the change in tax structure has not yet made a significant difference to the overall growth rate, the positive, albeit weak, relationship indicates potential for VAT to impact economic growth if implementation is improved.
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