Masterarbeit, 2004
62 Seiten, Note: 1,7 (A-)
1.Introduction
1.1 Background
1.2 Problem Discussion
1.3 Problem Formulation
1.4 Purpose of this Thesis
1.5 Limitations
1.6 Theoretical Relevance
1.7 Practical Relevance
2. Methodology
2.1 Preunderstanding
2.2 Research Journey
2.3 Paradigms
2.4 The subjective – objective dimension
2.4.1 Ontology: Nominalism vs. Realism
2.4.2 Epistemology: Anti-positivism vs. Positivism
2.4.3 Human Nature: Voluntarism versus Determinism
2.4.4 Methodology: Ideographic versus Nomothetic
2.4.5 Radical change- Regulation
2.4.6 Scientific approach
3. Theory
3.1. Data Mining
3.1.1 Data Mining Methods
3.1.1.1 Data Clustering
3.1.1.2 Classification
3.1.2 Modes of Data Mining
3.1.2.1 Descriptive Data Mining
3.1.2.2 Predictive Data Mining
3.1.3 Overview of Data Mining Techniques
3.1.3.1 Market Basket Analysis / Association Mining
3.1.3.2 Artificial Neuronal Nets
3.1.4 Traditional Statistical Approach
3.1.5 Data Warehouse
3.2. Direct Marketing
3.2.1 Benefits and Growth of Direct Marketing
3.2.2 Customer Databases
3.2.2.1 Database Marketing
3.2.2.2 Mass Marketing versus One-to-One Marketing
3.2.3 Major Channels of Direct Marketing
3.2.3.1 Direct Mail
3.2.3.2 Catalogue Marketing
3.2.3.3 Telemarketing
3.2.4 Ethical Issues in Direct Marketing
4. Empirical Part
4.1 Telia
4.2 Skandia
4.3 SEB (Skandinaviska Enskilda Banken)
4.4 TUI Deutschland GmbH
4.5 Kreissparkasse Grafschaft Diepholz
4.6 OLB (Oldenburgische Landesbank AG)
5. Analysis
5.1 Usage of Data Mining today
5.2 Further Development of Data Mining
5.3 Main Advantages of Data Mining
5.4 Main Disadvantages of Data Mining
6. Conclusion
6.1 Critics to own work
6.2 Suggestions for further research
This thesis examines the utility of Data Mining (DM) technologies as a support mechanism for direct marketing activities. The primary research question addresses the identification of the main advantages and disadvantages companies face when implementing these tools to enhance their marketing effectiveness and customer targeting strategies.
3.1.3.1 Market Basket Analysis / Association Mining
One very common and useful DM technique is the Market Basket Analysis (MBA). It can be described as a special tool of data analysis for marketing by determining what products customers buy together. So MBA gives the likelihood of different products being purchased together. The likelihood is expressed as association rules. An example for a rule is: 98% of people who buy milk also buy sugar, which is underlying an association-pattern of X→Y. It is generally helpful to any retailer to know what products people buy together. Direct marketers can also benefit from the MBA-technique. It helps them to determine what new products to offer to their current customers. The Web store Amazon.com offers every customer who has purchased a book “People who bought this book also bought…”. Amazon.com is able to put the suitable offers to their customers because they use association rules to obtain a higher level of knowledge and buying behaviour about their customers.
To make effective use, as Amazon has done, of an association rule that describes buying behaviour; two distinct measures of an association rule need to be considered. The interesting measures are support and confidence. Support refers to the percentage of baskets in the whole analysis where a regarded association rule is true. One example can be: “If a buyer buys juice he/she will buy beer with a likelihood of 82%”. That means this left-hand side and this right hand side of the association can be found in 82% of all buying activities. The measuring of confidence is one step ahead and differs from support in a special way. The confidence is the probability that the right-hand side is present given when the left-hand side of the association is definitely represented in the basket. One example will clarify this description: The confidence of the association-rule “juice → beer” is 100% although the support of the association-rule “juice → beer is “only” 82%. This situation is possible because all buyers of juice also buy beer, and juice is bought in 82% of all buying activities!
1. Introduction: This chapter provides fundamental information regarding Data Mining and its relevance in modern marketing environments, culminating in the formal problem statement of the thesis.
2. Methodology: This section details the research approach, including the authors' preunderstanding, the research journey, and the philosophical framework based on Burrell & Morgan’s dimensions.
3. Theory: This core chapter establishes the theoretical foundation by examining Data Mining techniques and the principles of Direct Marketing, highlighting the synergy between both fields.
4. Empirical Part: This section presents summarized findings from interviews conducted with professionals at six companies across different business sectors.
5. Analysis: The authors analyze the interview data, introducing a model (DM Flow-chart) to illustrate the different paths companies take when deploying DM in their marketing efforts.
6. Conclusion: This final chapter synthesizes the research findings, identifying the primary advantages and disadvantages of using DM in direct marketing, and provides critical reflection and suggestions for future research.
Data Mining, Direct Marketing, Database Marketing, Knowledge Discovery, Association Rules, Market Basket Analysis, Customer Segmentation, Artificial Neural Networks, CRM, Marketing Efficiency, Consumer Behavior, Data Warehousing, Predictive Analytics.
The thesis focuses on evaluating the usage of Data Mining technologies as a supportive tool for direct marketing activities, specifically identifying key benefits and challenges.
Key themes include the synergy between data-based marketing and traditional methods, implementation hurdles, technical requirements, and the strategic importance of customer relationship management.
The authors seek to answer: What are the main advantages and disadvantages in using DM technologies as support to direct marketing activities?
The authors utilized an exploratory research design with a positivistic approach, conducting qualitative interviews with industry professionals across various sectors.
The main body comprises a theoretical review of Data Mining and Direct Marketing, followed by an empirical analysis of real-world corporate practices and a concluding evaluation.
Keywords include Data Mining, Direct Marketing, Database Marketing, Knowledge Discovery, Market Basket Analysis, and CRM.
Data Mining identifies association rules within large datasets, allowing marketers to determine the likelihood of products being purchased together, thereby optimizing cross-selling strategies.
The primary ethical risk identified is the potential invasion of privacy, as companies collect increasingly detailed personal data, potentially making customers feel exposed or suspicious of the marketer's knowledge.
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