Masterarbeit, 2012
86 Seiten, Note: A
Chapter 1 INTREODUCTION
1.1 INTRODUCTION
1.2 STATEMENT OF THE PROBLEM
1.3 IMPORTANCE OF THE STUDY
1.4 AIMS, OBJECTIVE AND HYPOTHESIS
1.5 METHODOLOGY
1.6 OVERVIEW OF CHAPTERS
1.7 LITERATUREREVIEW
Chapter 2 BACKGROUND TO SUDAN
2.1 BACKGROUND TO SUDAN
2.2 BACKGROUND TO DARFUR
Chapter 3 BEGINNING OF SCARCITY RESOURCE AND CONFLICTS IN DARFUR
3.1 HISTORY OF RAIN FALL AND DROUGH IN DARFUR
3.2 LAND DEGRADATION AND FOOD SCARCITY
3.3 MIGARATION
3.4 HISTORY OF TRIBAL CONFLICTS OVER RESOURCES
3.5 ERUPTION OF CURRENT CRISES
Chapter 4 ANALYSIS
4.1 LINKING CLIMATE CHANGE TO CONFLICT IN DARFUR
Chapter 5 THE ROLE OF MULTILATERALISM IN SOLVING THE CRISES IN DARFUR
5.1 ROLE OF UNITED NATIONS
5.2 ROLE OF AFRICAN UNION
5.3 DISCUSSION
This thesis examines the role of climate change as a threat multiplier in intra-state conflicts, specifically focusing on the Darfur crisis in Sudan as a case study to challenge the politicized narrative of the conflict.
1.2 Statement of the Problem
It would be natural to view these as distinct developments. In fact, they are linked. Almost invariably, we discuss Darfur in convenient military and political shorthand an ethnic conflict pitting Arab militias against black rebels and farmers. Look to its roots, though, and you discover a more complex dynamic. Amid the diverse social and political causes, the Darfur conflict began as an ecological crisis, arising at least in part from climate change. Two decades ago, the rains in western Sudan began to fail. According to U.N. statistics, average precipitation has declined some 40 percent since the early 1980s. Scientists at first considered this to be an unfortunate quirk of nature. But subsequent investigation found that it coincided with a rise in temperatures of the Indian Ocean, disrupting seasonal monsoons. This suggests that the drying of sub-Saharan Africa derives, to some degree, from man-made global warming.
Chapter 1: Provides the introduction, problem statement, research methodology, and sets the theoretical framework for analyzing climate change as a security threat.
Chapter 2: Outlines the historical and political background of Sudan and the regional development context of Darfur.
Chapter 3: Details the environmental history of Darfur, focusing on declining rainfall, desertification, and the resulting resource scarcity that triggered tribal conflicts.
Chapter 4: Analyzes the direct causal linkages between climate-induced environmental stress and the escalation of violence in Darfur.
Chapter 5: Examines the interventions by international organizations, specifically the UN and the African Union, and evaluates their effectiveness in solving the crisis.
Climate change, Darfur, intra-state conflict, resource scarcity, desertification, land degradation, environmental security, threat multiplier, tribal conflict, Sudan, adaptation capacity, international diplomacy, food insecurity, forced migration.
The thesis investigates whether climate change acts as a root cause for the intra-state conflict in Darfur by exacerbating resource scarcity and environmental degradation.
The research centers on the interplay between environmental factors (drought, rainfall patterns), social dynamics (land tenure, tribal migration), and political interventions.
The study seeks to determine if climate change constitutes a legitimate root cause of the Darfur conflict and whether the connection between environmental changes and security is valid.
The research primarily utilizes the analysis of secondary data, including academic literature, official reports, and historical records, supported by the author’s personal field experience in Northern Darfur.
It covers the history of Sudan and Darfur, the scientific evidence for desertification, the evolution of land tenure, and a critique of international efforts to mediate the crisis.
Key terms include climate change, Darfur, resource scarcity, environmental security, and threat multiplier.
The author argues that while the conflict is often presented as an ethnic war, it is fundamentally rooted in an ecological crisis and competition over dwindling natural resources.
It suggests that while climate change may not directly cause war, it exacerbates underlying social and political tensions, making conflict more likely in vulnerable states.
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