Masterarbeit, 2013
108 Seiten, Note: 2,3
1 Introduction
1.1 Background
1.2 Objective and limitations
1.3 Structure
2 Legal framework for climate change and emission trading
2.1 Demarcation of international and EU law for climate change
2.2 United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change
2.3 Kyoto Protocol
2.4 European Union Emission Trading Scheme
2.4.1 Motivation and objectives
2.4.2 Scope and extensions
2.4.3 Allocation and cap system
2.4.4 Trading and price mechanisms
2.4.5 Timeline and structural changes
3 International aviation and climate change
3.1 International aviation industry and airline economics
3.1.1 Market evolution and competition
3.1.2 Market players
3.1.3 Price and demand mechanisms
3.1.4 Industry trends
3.2 Environmental policies in civil aviation
3.2.1 Convention on International Civil Aviation
3.2.2 Aviation Directive
3.2.2.1 Motivation and objectives
3.2.2.2 Major design elements
3.2.3 Current issues in climate policy for international aviation
4 Impact analysis of the EU-ETS on the aviation industry
4.1 Focus of analysis and research approach
4.2 Airline profitability
4.2.1 EU-ETS costs
4.2.2 Pricing behavior
4.2.3 Windfall profits
4.3 Industry competition
4.3.1 Distributional effects of allowance allocation
4.3.2 Airline type
4.3.3 European versus non-European airlines
4.4 Industry performance and development
4.4.1 Technological advancement
4.4.2 Operational improvement
4.4.3 Volume measures and modal shift
5 Analysis results and management implications
6 Conclusion and outlook
This thesis aims to describe the scope of impact of the European Union Emission Trading Scheme (EU-ETS) on the aviation industry and to develop a detailed understanding of the resulting effects. The central research objective is to analyze how the inclusion in the EU-ETS affects airline profitability, industry competition, and overall industry development, while acknowledging the specific legal and economic context of international aviation.
3.1.2 Market players
The aviation industry encompasses several market participants. Analyzing the value chain reveals major market players, such as aircraft manufacturers, airlines, ground handlers, airport operators, and air traffic control (ATC), that contribute to the air transportation service. Given the complexity of the aviation industry this thesis limits its scope to the airline market. In the following, traditional types of airlines including their traditional business models are described.
NWCs are characterized by a large route network which is operated by a hub-and-spoke system to serve a wide range of destinations. As to date, NWCs constitute the leading type of airline capturing the largest market share in the aviation industry. Within a hub-and-spoke network, airports at central locations (hubs) are strategically vital in order to collect traffic through so called feeder flights from various origins (spokes). In this way, passengers are accumulated at central locations so that larger airplanes can be used for long-haul flights to transfer passengers to the respective destinations. In order to operate hub-and-spoke networks, NWCs are required to keep diverse fleet compositions consisting of various types of aircraft to operate short- and long-haul flights. Typically, airlines benefit from this network configuration through scale effects such as network extensions, increased utilization of airplanes, and a more efficient use of ground staff and equipment. Moreover, NWCs are distinguished by the comprehensive customer service. In this regard, NWCs generally offer different passenger classes, including economy, business, and first class. These passenger classes provide different service levels as for instance on-board service, in-flight entertainment, ticketing service, and passenger lounges at airports. Consequently, air fares are regularly in the upper price range claiming a premium price whereas most profits are generated from business- and long-haul travel.
1 Introduction: Provides the research background, defines the objective and limitations, and outlines the structure of the thesis.
2 Legal framework for climate change and emission trading: Describes international climate treaties and the structural development of the EU-ETS.
3 International aviation and climate change: Analyzes airline economics, market players, trends, and the environmental policy context of aviation.
4 Impact analysis of the EU-ETS on the aviation industry: Examines the effects of the EU-ETS on airline profitability, competition, and industry performance through three distinct perspectives.
5 Analysis results and management implications: Summarizes the key findings of the impact analysis and discusses managerial implications for airlines.
6 Conclusion and outlook: Recapitulates the core research results and provides a future outlook on developments in climate policy for aviation.
EU-ETS, Aviation Industry, Emission Allowances, Airline Profitability, Market Competition, Climate Policy, Kyoto Protocol, Aviation Directive, Carbon Price, Hub-and-Spoke, Low-Cost Carriers, Network Carriers, Emission Mitigation, Air Traffic, Demand Elasticity
The work fundamentally explores the integration of the aviation industry into the European Union Emission Trading Scheme (EU-ETS) and evaluates the scope of impact this inclusion has on the sector.
The study covers the international legal framework for climate protection, specific airline business models, competition dynamics between different types of carriers, and the industry-wide effects of carbon pricing.
The objective is to describe the scope of impact of the EU-ETS on the aviation industry and to develop a detailed understanding of how this regulation affects airline operations and competitiveness.
The author conducts a comprehensive literature review, screening academic journals, research institution reports, and publications from consultancy firms to build a comparative analysis of the current state of research.
The main part encompasses an analysis of EU-ETS costs, pricing behavior, windfall profits, competitive distortions, and industry performance metrics, categorized into individual, intra-industry, and collective industry perspectives.
Key terms include EU-ETS, Aviation Industry, Emission Allowances, Airline Profitability, Market Competition, and Carbon Price.
The thesis highlights that Network Carriers (NWCs) and Low-Cost Carriers (LCCs) are affected differently due to their distinct passenger structures and route networks, with NWCs often having more flexibility to manage costs.
The geographical scope is a major point of contention, as it discriminates between European and non-European airlines, particularly regarding the coverage of international long-haul flights versus regional feeder services.
A "green image" is identified as a potential competitive advantage, helping airlines maintain market legitimacy and appeal to environmentally conscious passengers amidst increasing public and political pressure.
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