Diplomarbeit, 2004
87 Seiten, Note: 1,3 (A)
This thesis aims to analyze the benefits and costs of regional integration, specifically focusing on the impact of NAFTA on the Mexican economy after a decade. It examines the agreement's effects through the lens of integration theory, assessing both static and dynamic welfare implications.
Introduction: This chapter sets the stage for the thesis by outlining the ongoing debate surrounding the effects of NAFTA on Mexico's economy. It introduces the thesis's objective and structure, providing a roadmap for the subsequent chapters. The chapter also defines regional integration and explores its potential welfare implications. This sets the groundwork for a deeper examination of NAFTA's specific impact on Mexico. It introduces the theoretical frameworks that underpin the analysis to follow, ensuring that the reader understands the methodological approach taken throughout the study.
Regional Integration: This chapter provides a theoretical framework for understanding regional integration. It delves into the definition, various forms, and stated objectives of such arrangements. Crucial to this chapter is a thorough exploration of the welfare implications of regional integration, examining both static (immediate effects on resource allocation) and dynamic (long-term effects on productivity and growth) outcomes. The distinction between North-South and South-South integration is also explored, adding a crucial geopolitical layer to the analysis. Finally, the chapter addresses the critical issue of spatial inequality, highlighting the uneven distribution of benefits and costs that often accompanies integration processes.
NAFTA as an Example of Regional Integration: This chapter specifically focuses on NAFTA, examining Mexico's path to joining the agreement and detailing its key provisions. It then analyzes NAFTA within the context of integration theory, outlining the expected effects based on the theoretical models established in previous chapters. This analysis serves as a crucial bridge, connecting the general theory of regional integration to the specific case of NAFTA, providing a basis for evaluating the actual impact observed in subsequent chapters. The chapter carefully lays out the predictions and the lens through which the following empirical evidence will be analyzed.
NAFTA's Impact on Mexico after One Decade: This chapter presents the core empirical analysis of NAFTA's impact on the Mexican economy. It examines both the static benefits, such as changes in trade patterns and terms of trade, and the dynamic benefits, such as the influx of foreign direct investment and its effects on productivity and economic growth. The analysis delves into the complexities of trade creation and diversion, providing a nuanced perspective on the winners and losers in the Mexican economy. It further explores the question of whether Mexico successfully "caught up" with the North American economies after NAFTA's implementation. The chapter also investigates the adjustment challenges and economic divergence resulting from integration, which are crucial factors in evaluating the overall success of NAFTA for Mexico.
NAFTA, regional integration, Mexican economy, trade, foreign direct investment (FDI), economic growth, welfare implications, spatial inequality, migration, North-South integration, economic development, trade creation, trade diversion, terms of trade, productivity.
This document provides a comprehensive overview of a thesis analyzing the benefits and costs of regional integration, specifically focusing on the impact of the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) on the Mexican economy after a decade. It examines NAFTA's effects through the lens of integration theory, assessing both static and dynamic welfare implications.
The table of contents includes an introduction, a section on regional integration theory, a detailed examination of NAFTA (its design, Mexico's involvement, and expected effects), an in-depth analysis of NAFTA's impact on Mexico after one decade (covering trade, foreign direct investment, economic growth, and regional disparities), and concluding remarks with policy implications.
The thesis aims to analyze NAFTA's impact on Mexican trade patterns and terms of trade; the role of foreign direct investment (FDI) in Mexico's post-NAFTA development; the effects of NAFTA on regional disparities and economic growth within Mexico; the role of migration as an adjustment mechanism; and policy implications and future outlooks for Mexico's economic development within the context of NAFTA.
The introduction sets the stage, defining regional integration and outlining the thesis's structure. The chapter on regional integration provides a theoretical framework. The NAFTA chapter examines the agreement's design and expected effects. The core analysis chapter assesses NAFTA's impact on Mexico, covering static and dynamic benefits and challenges, including trade, FDI, growth, and regional disparities. The conclusion summarizes findings and discusses policy implications.
Key words include NAFTA, regional integration, Mexican economy, trade, foreign direct investment (FDI), economic growth, welfare implications, spatial inequality, migration, North-South integration, economic development, trade creation, trade diversion, terms of trade, and productivity.
The research employs a theoretical framework of regional integration to analyze the empirical data on NAFTA's impact on the Mexican economy. It examines both static (immediate) and dynamic (long-term) welfare effects.
The research examines NAFTA's impact on Mexican trade patterns and terms of trade, foreign direct investment, economic growth, regional disparities within Mexico, and the role of migration as an adjustment mechanism.
The conclusion summarizes the research findings regarding NAFTA's impact on Mexico and discusses their implications for future economic policy in Mexico. This section would likely offer recommendations for policy adjustments based on the study's results.
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