Masterarbeit, 2013
77 Seiten, Note: 1,0
1 Introduction
1.1 Object of Analysis: Growth in South Tyrol & Luxembourg
1.2 Structure
2 The Evolution of Endogenous Growth Theories
2.1 Neoclassical Growth Theory with Exogenous Growth
2.1.1 The Solow-Model
2.1.2 Shortcomings of Neoclassical Conceptions
2.1.2.1 Assumptions
2.1.2.2 Convergence Controversy
2.2 The Origins of Endogenous Growth Models
2.2.1 The Passing of Perfect Competition – 5 Facts
2.2.2 Learning by Doing – Arrow’s Approach
2.2.3 Adding Human Capital – Lucas’ Approach
2.2.4 Knowledge Spillovers & Increasing Returns – Romer’s Approach
2.2.4.1 Romer’s Work of 1986
2.2.4.2 Romer’s Work of 1990
2.2.5 Neo-Schumpeterian Growth Models
2.3 Critical Reflections on Endogenous Growth Theory
2.3.1 Critique
2.3.2 Practical Relevance
3 Matching Growth in South Tyrol & Luxembourg
3.1 Background Facts
3.1.1 South Tyrol
3.1.2 Luxembourg
3.2 Data & Methods
3.3 Historical Growth Observations
3.4 Composition of GDP’s & Characterization of the Economies
3.4.1 Tourism in South Tyrol
3.4.2 Financial Intermediation in Luxembourg
3.5 Analysis of One Major Growth Factor Suggested by EGT – Human Capital
3.5.1 Mahroum’s 3D Framework
3.5.2 The Cumulative Growth of Human Capital
3.5.3 The Human Development Index
3.6 Alternative Explanations outside Endogenous Growth Theories
3.6.1 The Case of South Tyrol
3.6.2 The Case of Luxembourg
4 Conclusion
This thesis investigates the economic growth trajectories of South Tyrol and Luxembourg to determine whether these can be explained by endogenous growth theories, particularly focusing on the role of human capital. The study contrasts these two economically comparable yet distinct regions to identify specific growth drivers.
3.4.1 Tourism in South Tyrol
Tourism is often called the „Engine of the South Tyrolean economy“. In their paper “Dynamic Model of Economic Growth in a Small Tourism Driven Economy”, Schubert and Brida (2011) pointed out that international tourism is recognized to have positive effects on long-run economic growth through various channels. First, it is a significant foreign exchange earner, allowing to pay for imported capital goods or basic inputs used in the production process. Second, tourism plays a major role in spurring investments in new infrastructure and competition between local firms and firms in other tourist countries. Third, it stimulates other economic industries as shown above by direct, indirect and induced effects. Fourth, tourism contributes to generate employment and increases income. Fifth, tourism causes a positive exploitation of economies of scale in regional firms. And finally, tourism is an important factor of diffusion of technical knowledge, stimulation of R&D and accumulation of human capital. These beliefs that tourism can indeed promote or cause long-run economic growth are known in the literature as the Tourism Led Growth Hypothesis (TLGH).
However, it seems very complex to determine the impact of this sector quantitatively. Especially since tourism per se is not a real production sector. There are no industries that “produce” tourism, even if there are activities that depend directly or indirectly on tourism demand.
The “tourism-satellite-account” (TSA), a concept to display all kinds of tourism in monetary values, allows for revealing the relations between tourism demand and production of sectors. In contrast to “classic” tourism statistics, which collect data about the arrivals and overnight stays of hotels and restaurants, the tourism-satellite-account also maps one-day-visits (which account for 1/3 of all visits to South Tyrol) as well as overnight-stays at secondary residences or at a friend’s home (which account for 15% of all overnight-stays) (ASTAT 2012).
1 Introduction: Introduces the research question concerning the applicability of endogenous growth theories to South Tyrol and Luxembourg, outlining the structure and methodology.
2 The Evolution of Endogenous Growth Theories: Provides a comprehensive overview of the shift from neoclassical models to endogenous growth theories, discussing key authors and conceptual pillars like human capital and R&D.
3 Matching Growth in South Tyrol & Luxembourg: Compares the two regions empirically, identifying their specific economic structures, the role of human capital, and alternative growth drivers like tourism and financial intermediation.
4 Conclusion: Summarizes findings, noting that while human capital is a significant factor in some models, alternative variables like foreign income and dynamic capabilities are essential for understanding specific growth patterns.
Endogenous Growth Theory, Human Capital, South Tyrol, Luxembourg, GDP, Tourism, Financial Intermediation, Mahroum’s 3D Framework, Human Development Index, Dynamic Capabilities, Creative Destruction, Neoclassical Growth, Innovation, Economic Development, Growth Drivers.
The thesis analyzes the economic growth of South Tyrol and Luxembourg to see if their performance can be explained by endogenous growth theories.
They are highly comparable due to their small size, scarcity of natural resources, similar population levels, and multilingual populations, yet they exhibit significant differences in economic structure and performance.
The primary objective is to identify if growth in these regions is driven by factors suggested by endogenous growth theory, with a specific focus on human capital.
The thesis utilizes a comparative analysis, reviewing historical growth data, composition of GDP, and measuring human capital through the Human Development Index and Mahroum’s 3D Framework.
The main body consists of two parts: a theoretical review of endogenous growth models (from Solow to Neo-Schumpeterian approaches) and an empirical analysis comparing the two regions.
Key terms include Endogenous Growth Theory, Human Capital, Tourism-led growth, Financial Intermediation, and Dynamic Capabilities.
The HDI measures education and health within a country, but it failed to capture the international dimension of human capital attraction, which is a major driver for the Luxembourgish economy.
South Tyrol's growth is attributed to the Tourism Led Growth Hypothesis, where growth is driven by the inflow of foreign income and high demand for tourism services.
It represents the ability of the economy to reconfigure its internal and external competencies, allowing it to act as a leading financial hub through rapid adaptation to market changes.
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