Masterarbeit, 2015
69 Seiten, Note: 8
1. Introduction
1.1. Research Problem
1.2. Salience and novelty
1.3. Questions:
1.4. Objectives:
1.5. Hypothesis
1.6. Research design and research method
1.7. Literature review
2. Theory and Method
2.1. Qualitative Research Method
2.2. Theoretical Framework
2.3. Methodology
2.4. Theoretical approaches towards social movements studies
2.5. Middle Class Definition
3. Research Analysis
3.1. Description of protests in Moscow, and the reasons of the failure
3.2. The Reflection of Economic Crisis in the Mood of Russian Middle Class and Transformation into Political Crisis
This thesis examines the intersection of the Moscow protest movement (2011–2013) and the emergence of the Russian middle class. It aims to determine whether the financial crisis of 2008–2010 served as the primary catalyst for the middle class to join political protests against electoral fraud, rather than purely political motivations.
3.1. Description of protests in Moscow, and the reasons of the failure
The day after the elections to the Russian Parliament, on 4 December 2011, rallies against rigged election results in favor of the ruling party took place in Moscow and in a number of major cities in the country. The number of participants in the protests grew very quickly – from tens of thousands of people in the end of November. Very quickly the number reached hundreds of thousands in the end of December. It was unexpected amount of protesters earlier seen only in the beginning of 90-s. Pretty soon demands to recount votes and to resign the head of the Central Election Commission changed to the requirements of re-election and the resignation of Vladimir Putin. Unabated, protest activities continued throughout the winter and spring, numerous actions were held in June and September.
The election campaign of 2011, which ended with many thousands of protesters in the center of the Russian capital and in other big cities, was different from previous ones from the very beginning. For more than a year sense of uncertainty was slowly growing caused by the economic crisis. Total social stability and support which is usual for pre-electoral period which is characterized by "the rise of public hopes for a better life, higher living standards, increased optimism" was absent. Throughout 2011 the party in power and top officials rankings was decreasing. The party "United Russia" was not able to mobilize their supporters. After a brief increase in their numbers in September and October to November, the number intending to vote for the party in power has dropped again to 34%. Common feeling of economic stability which was usual for successful period of Putin’s presidency and his main trump card disappeared, the support of population dropped.
1. Introduction: Outlines the rise of Vladimir Putin, the emergence of mass protests in 2011 following disputed parliamentary elections, and the identification of a new middle class as a key protest contingent.
2. Theory and Method: Discusses the qualitative case-study research design, the definition of the middle class, and theoretical frameworks, including the concept of relative deprivation, to explain social movements.
3. Research Analysis: Investigates the timeline of the Moscow protests, the transition from economic discontent to political opposition, and the impact of the global financial crisis on the Russian middle class.
Russia, Middle Class, Protests, Moscow, 2011-2013, Financial Crisis, Economic Policy, Living Standards, Political Opposition, Democracy, Corruption, Social Movements, Qualitative Research, Regime Legitimacy, Public Opinion
The research analyzes the role of the Russian middle class in the Moscow protests between 2011 and 2013, specifically investigating whether economic factors were the primary driver for their participation.
The work focuses on the intersection of the 2008–2010 financial crisis, the socio-economic status of the Russian middle class, and their shift toward political activism in the face of perceived government inefficiency.
The author hypothesizes that the middle class's accession to the protests in 2011–2013 was motivated more by the economic situation resulting from the 2008–2010 financial crisis than by purely political engagement.
The study utilizes a qualitative case-study approach, incorporating statistical data from the Levada Centre, surveys by Sasha de Vogel, and original interviews with protest participants.
The main body examines the timeline of the protests, the definition and characteristics of the Russian middle class, the correlation between economic crisis and political mood, and the influence of systemic issues like corruption.
Key terms include Russia, middle class, protests, financial crisis, corruption, political opposition, democracy, and public opinion.
The author defines it as a social group with sustainable income capable of satisfying a wide range of social and material needs, often characterized by higher education, employment in the private sector, and ownership of real estate or a mid-range car.
The thesis argues that the opposition failed to reach its goals because it ignored socio-economic aspects, focusing too heavily on political criticism, and failed to maintain a cohesive strategy or mobilize the broader urban middle class over the long term.
The crisis ruined previous economic achievements, led to ruble depreciation, and increased uncertainty regarding the government's ability to protect the standards of living that the middle class had grown accustomed to.
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