Bachelorarbeit, 2015
35 Seiten, Note: 2:1
1. Introduction
1.1 General Introduction:
1.2 Objectives of this study:
1.3 Structure of the thesis:
2. Literature Review
2.1 Introduction
2.2 History of Referenda:
2.3 History of Opinion Polls:
2.4 Impact on the UK Economy of Leaving the EU:
3. Methodology
3.1 Introduction:
3.2 Data Source:
3.3 SWOT Analysis of the UK leaving the EU on businesses:
4. Findings
4.1 Results of the YouGov Poll:
4.2 Results of SWOT Analysis:
5. Conclusion
5.1 Summary:
5.2 Evaluation:
5.3 Future Work:
This study aims to investigate and evaluate the potential economic, political, and social consequences for the United Kingdom should it decide to leave the European Union. By analyzing historical referenda, trends in public opinion, and applying a SWOT analysis, the research seeks to provide a balanced assessment of the benefits and risks associated with such a move, specifically focusing on its impact on businesses and international trade relations.
3.3 SWOT Analysis of the UK leaving the EU on businesses:
SWOT analysis theory whose origins remain unclear is often credited to Albert Humphrey. SWOT analysis is generally used by businesses in structural planning, it is also usable in understanding the decision of the UK leaving the EU on businesses through both analysing the internal and external factors of this decision. SWOT stands for ‘Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats’. Johnson et al (2015, p. 119) defines this as “SWOT summarises the key issues from the business environment and the strategic capability of an organisation that are most likely to impact on strategy development. This can also be useful as a basis against which to generate strategic options and assess future courses of action.” this will be used in understanding the impact on a business many of whom would include this form of analysis in their model in planning the impact of leaving the EU. These will be discussed in the next chapter.
1. Introduction: This chapter outlines the topic, the history of UK-EU relations, the objectives of the study, and the overall thesis structure.
2. Literature Review: This section critically reviews existing literature concerning historical referenda, opinion polls, and the potential economic impacts of a UK withdrawal from the EU.
3. Methodology: This chapter details the research methods used, specifically the reliance on secondary quantitative data and the application of a SWOT analysis.
4. Findings: This chapter presents the results of the YouGov opinion poll and the findings from the conducted SWOT analysis regarding the UK's potential departure.
5. Conclusion: This chapter summarizes the research, evaluates the findings in relation to the initial hypothesis, and suggests areas for future study.
European Union, UK Referendum, Brexit, Economic Impact, Public Opinion, SWOT Analysis, Single Market, Trade Relations, Immigration, Monetary Policy, British Politics, International Business, Euroscepticism, UKIP, Sovereignty.
The research explores the potential economic, political, and social consequences of the United Kingdom leaving the European Union.
Key themes include historical referenda, the accuracy and reliability of public opinion polls, economic impacts on trade and businesses, and the strategic advantages and risks of a UK withdrawal.
The central hypothesis tested in this study is that if the United Kingdom left the European Union and became a separate entity, it would greatly benefit.
The study primarily utilizes a secondary research approach, analyzing existing public opinion data (such as YouGov and Eurobarometer) and applying a SWOT analysis to identify the internal and external factors of the potential decision.
The main body examines the history of UK relations with the EU, reviews literature on referenda and economic impacts, discusses the methodology of the study, and presents findings from polls and a strategic SWOT analysis.
The work is characterized by terms such as Brexit, UK Referendum, Economic Impact, Public Opinion, and SWOT analysis.
The author expresses concern regarding potential bias in Eurobarometer data, noting that it is managed by the European Commission, which may favor pro-integration perspectives, and references critiques about it shifting from research to political advocacy.
The 'Single Market' is analyzed both as a major benefit for UK businesses through reduced trade barriers and as a potential source of risk, specifically concerning whether the UK could maintain similar access if it were to leave the EU.
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