Masterarbeit, 2016
66 Seiten, Note: 1,7
This master's thesis aims to analyze the interaction between countries' emissions abatement decisions and the global impact of climate change. It utilizes dynamic programming to simulate the behaviour of countries over time, considering both scenarios with and without policy interventions. The thesis investigates the interplay between abatement costs, temperature increases, and ecological impacts, as well as the formation of coalitions among countries.
The first chapter introduces the research topic and provides background information on the impact of global warming. The second chapter presents the model without policy intervention, detailing the methodology of dynamic programming and the elements of the total cost function. It also analyzes the results of simulations conducted using this model. Chapter three investigates the model with policy intervention, exploring the academic and political background of climate negotiations and incorporating policy elements into the model. It examines the effects of different policy approaches on country behaviour and emissions reduction. Chapter four compares the results of both models, highlighting the key differences and insights gained from each approach. The final chapter presents conclusions drawn from the study, outlining the significance of the findings and suggesting future research directions.
This master's thesis focuses on country-level emissions abatement decisions, climate change, dynamic programming, abatement costs, temperature impact, ecological impact, coalition formation, policy intervention, and climate negotiations.
It is a mathematical method used to simulate and optimize countries' emissions abatement decisions over time, considering long-term impacts and costs.
The study analyzes the interaction between the costs of reducing emissions and the ecological damage caused by rising temperatures, helping to find an economic balance.
The COP21 (Paris Agreement) was a breakthrough in climate negotiations, though issues like binding quotas and the 2°C mitigation target remain complex challenges.
Coalitions allow countries to share the burden of abatement costs and increase the effectiveness of global mitigation efforts through collective action.
The model considers the specific emissions profiles and economic constraints of developing countries, often incorporating randomness and individual requirements.
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