Masterarbeit, 2015
95 Seiten
This case-control study investigates the factors that differentiate solved and unsolved non-domestic homicides in Trinidad and Tobago between 2008 and 2014. The study aims to identify the variables associated with higher homicide detection rates.
The introduction provides an overview of the research, highlighting its significance and outlining the study's objectives. The literature review examines the definition and measurement of homicide detection rates, explores theoretical frameworks on homicide detection, and discusses the reasons for declining detection rates. It also delves into the investigation of homicide, the role of forensic evidence, and the impact of political influence on investigations. The chapter concludes with a review of case characteristics and solvability factors, focusing on the Wellford and Cronin (1999) study.
The methods chapter outlines the research setting, definitions, and the chosen research design. It details the data sources, extraction and cleaning processes, and discusses data limitations and issues.
This study focuses on non-domestic homicides, employing a case-control research design, odds ratio meta-analysis, and latent class analysis. Key investigative variables and solvability factors are examined, including weapon recovery, suspect identification, projectile recovery, offender vehicle identification, fingerprint evidence, eyewitness testimony, ballistic analysis, and the number of investigators assigned to a case.
Key factors include recovery of a weapon, naming a suspect, recovery of projectiles, identifying an offender's vehicle, finding fingerprints, and having eyewitnesses.
The study found that having three or four investigators assigned to a case significantly increases the likelihood of solving it compared to having only one.
The two most critical variables identified were the first officer securing the crime scene and the investigator being present at the post-mortem examination.
These are latent classes identified in the data based on the ratio of solved to unsolved cases, describing the inherent complexity and likelihood of detection for different types of homicides.
Literature suggests reasons such as changes in the nature of homicides (e.g., gang-related vs. domestic), shifts in police resources, and changes in witness behavior and cooperation.
Forensic evidence, specifically ballistics and fingerprints, remains a powerful tool and is strongly correlated with higher detection rates in the Trinidad and Tobago context.
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