Bachelorarbeit, 2016
66 Seiten, Note: 1,0
1 Introduction
2 Macroeconomic policy coordination under the Stability and Growth Pact before the crisis
2.1 Stability and Growth Pact content: numerical constraints
2.1.1 Economic rationale: the role of debts and deficits as the background of the Stability and Growth Pact content
2.1.2 Critical assessment: the need for country-specific constraints
2.2 Stability and Growth Pact objective: fiscal discipline
2.2.1 Economic rationale: negative externalities and the reasons of fiscal laxity
2.2.2 Critical assessment: the need for discretion and flexibility
2.3 Stability and Growth Pact governance: coordination through rules and mechanisms
2.3.1 Rule-based architecture and mechanism design
2.3.2 Economic rationale: The reasons for and the consequences of a rule-based framework
2.3.3 Critical assessment: credibility issues with the Stability and Growth Pact
3 Macroeconomic policy coordination during and after the crisis
3.1 The Stability and Growth Pact during the crisis
3.2 Reforms regarding macroeconomic policy coordination
3.3 Comparison of ante-crisis propositions and reforms
3.3.1 Dimensions and trade-offs of the Stability and Growth Pact design
3.3.2 Requested dimensional changes compared to actual developments of the SGP
4 Conclusion
This thesis examines the fundamental necessity of macroeconomic policy coordination within the Economic and Monetary Union (EMU), specifically focusing on how the Stability and Growth Pact (SGP) functioned before, during, and after the financial and sovereign debt crises. It analyzes the theoretical rationales, the inherent trade-offs in rule-based governance, and the effectiveness of subsequent reforms.
2.1.1 Economic rationale: the role of debts and deficits as the background of the Stability and Growth Pact content
The aforementioned Delors report laid the foundation of the numerical constraints and the rule-based framework of both the Maastricht convergence criteria and the later introduced SGP. Proposal number 19 of the report states that with monetary unification "a wide range of decisions would remain the preserve of national and regional authorities. However, given their potential impact [...] implications for the conduct of a common monetary policy, such decisions would have to [...] be subject to binding procedures and rules. This would permit the determination of an overall policy stance for the Community as a whole [...] and place binding constraints on the size and the financing of budget deficits" (Delors, 1989, p. 14). Since the establishment of the EMU framework, the focus regarding rules for the functioning of a monetary union has lied on budget deficits in terms of their size and their financing. The justification is mainly based on externalities that decentralised fiscal decisions could have on the common currency union as a whole as well as price stability and effectiveness of monetary policies followed out by the single centralised monetary authority. The propositions of the report were first implemented in the Maastricht Treaty in 1992 as concrete convergence criteria. These specific numerical reference values on budget deficits and debt levels which were originally defined in the Protocol on the Excessive Deficit Procedure referred to in Article 104 TEC1 still apply today. The reference values are, as stated above, a maximum of 3% for government deficit to GDP and a maximum of 60% for the ratio of government debt to GDP.
1 Introduction: Provides an overview of the interdependence within the EMU and defines the scope of the thesis regarding macroeconomic policy coordination and the SGP.
2 Macroeconomic policy coordination under the Stability and Growth Pact before the crisis: Analyzes the theoretical and institutional design of the SGP, focusing on numerical constraints, fiscal discipline, and rule-based governance.
3 Macroeconomic policy coordination during and after the crisis: Examines how the SGP failed to prevent the crisis and discusses the subsequent reforms, comparing them with pre-crisis academic propositions.
4 Conclusion: Summarizes findings, noting that the reforms refocused the SGP on its core while leaving its fundamental structure largely untouched.
EMU, Stability and Growth Pact, SGP, Macroeconomic Policy Coordination, Fiscal Discipline, Excessive Deficit Procedure, Fiscal Spillover, Monetary Union, Economic Crisis, Budget Deficits, Public Debt, Eurozone, Fiscal Rules, Economic Governance, Institutional Credibility
The work focuses on the necessity and implementation of macroeconomic policy coordination within the European Economic and Monetary Union, specifically through the Stability and Growth Pact.
The thesis covers fiscal discipline, rule-based governance, the economic rationale for deficit and debt limits, and the impact of the Eurozone crisis on existing policy frameworks.
The thesis aims to examine the arguments for and against the SGP’s design, highlight the inherent trade-offs, and assess whether post-crisis reforms represent a fundamental shift or merely an adjustment of the existing framework.
The work utilizes a qualitative analysis based on literature reviews, legal and institutional analysis, and the evaluation of selected empirical economic data to assess the performance of the SGP.
The main sections analyze the pre-crisis rationale of the SGP, critical assessments of its flexibility and enforcement, and the post-2007 developments including the Six Pack, Two Pack, and the Fiscal Compact.
The work is characterized by terms such as EMU, Stability and Growth Pact, Fiscal Discipline, Excessive Deficit Procedure, and Eurozone Governance.
The preventive arm focuses on surveillance and medium-term objectives to maintain balance, while the corrective arm (Excessive Deficit Procedure) is triggered only after a breach of specific numerical reference values.
It is Article 104b(1) TEC, which is designed to prevent joint and several liability for public debt among EMU members, theoretically forcing countries to maintain fiscal discipline.
Freeriding is linked to the existence of "club goods" in the EMU, where states may rely on the central bank or other member states to handle the costs of their fiscal actions, potentially destabilizing the common currency.
The author concludes that while the reforms added complexity and reinforced disciplinary mechanisms, they did not fundamentally rearrange the framework, but rather refocused on existing core objectives with a new set of experiences.
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