Masterarbeit, 2016
64 Seiten, Note: 1,3
This thesis examines the performance of mutual funds investing in German equity from July 1995 to June 2015. The main objective is to determine if fund managers possess sufficient skill to generate risk-adjusted returns that cover the costs imposed on investors. Another purpose is to provide investors with relevant findings regarding the performance of German equity funds.
The thesis begins with a theoretical framework outlining the arithmetic of active management, information efficiency of financial markets, and factor models. Chapter 3 presents previous empirical findings on fund performance. Chapter 4 details the methodology used, including factor creation, data collection, forming the dataset, and separating skill from luck. Chapter 5 presents the empirical results based on net and gross returns, analyzing the performance of funds against individual benchmarks. Chapter 6 provides a critical review of the findings, and the conclusion summarizes the key takeaways and implications for investors.
The main keywords and focus topics of this thesis include fund performance, active and passive management, German equity funds, fund management, luck and skill, bootstrapping, Fama and French, Carhart, factor models, CAPM, and OLS regression.
According to the study, only a small fraction of fund managers possess sufficient skill to cover investor costs; high fees often negate any generated risk-adjusted returns.
The research provides statistical evidence that poor performance in bottom-ranked funds is primarily caused by bad management rather than simply bad luck.
The thesis utilizes the Jensen one-factor, Fama and French three-factor, and the Carhart four-factor models as benchmarks.
From an investor’s perspective, the study suggests it is often more beneficial to invest in passively managed vehicles, as active funds frequently underperform after costs.
The analysis covers German equity mutual funds over a 20-year period from July 1995 to June 2015.
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