Diplomarbeit, 2015
43 Seiten, Note: 1,7
INTRODUCTION
CHAPTER 1. THEORETICAL BACKGROUND
1.1. Public-to-Private Transactions: Literature Review
1.2. Determinants of Public-to-Private Transactions: Classification
1.3. Case Studies: Buyouts of Alliance Boots and Regent Inns
1.4. Hypotheses Formulation
CHAPTER 2. EMPIRICAL STUDY
2.1. Research Design
2.2. Sampling and Data Collection
2.3. Empirical Results & Discussion
CONCLUSIONS
LIST OF REFERENCES
The primary research goal of this thesis is to examine the determinants of public-to-private transactions for firms listed on the London Stock Exchange, specifically focusing on the relationship between analyst following, insider ownership, and the probability of a company being taken private by institutional investors or management.
Alliance Boots Buyout
In March 2007 Alliance Boots, a Bern-based pharmaceuticals company listed on the London Stock Exchange was taken over by one of the most prominent US private equity firms – Kohlberg Kravis Roberts (KKR). The deal was remarkable since it was the first time in history a constituent of a FTSE 100 index of a hundred most valuable firms was taken private. What follows is a brief analysis of the deal through the lens of the reasons to go private identified in previous studies (section 1.1) and summarized in section 1.2.
At the time of the buyout Alliance Boots was about four times larger than an average company traded on London Stock Exchange in 2003-2013 (5 billion pound vs. 1.2 billion pounds of net sales). In general, we expected smaller companies to go private more frequently; however as already stated, Alliance Boots’ case was unique in this respect.
Alliance Boots had a market-to-book ratio of 2.06. Whereas this number is below the mean for all companies (2.5), it indicates that Alliance still had significant growth opportunities as perceived by the market. Therefore at this point we cannot say the fact of this buyout runs contrary to research findings suggesting that lower market-to-book ratio is associated with higher probability of going private.
Company’s debt to equity ratio was 46% at the time, making it almost twice as much levered as median firm (25%). However, the fact that Alliance was taken private having higher than-average debt-to-equity ratio is not enough to suggest that the explanation offered by Bhathar and Dittmar (2009) (highly levered firms are more likely to go private since they are in need of a restructuring) since a debt-to-equity ratio is nowhere near the levels that would necessitate a change in ownership.
INTRODUCTION: Presents the motivation for studying public-to-private transactions, defines the scope of the study (IBO, MBO, MBI), and outlines the research objectives.
CHAPTER 1. THEORETICAL BACKGROUND: Reviews existing literature on costs and benefits of public status, introduces theoretical classifications of determinants, analyzes specific case studies, and formulates testable hypotheses.
CHAPTER 2. EMPIRICAL STUDY: Describes the research design using the Cox proportional hazard model, details the sample selection and data collection process, and presents the empirical findings regarding the factors influencing buyout probability.
CONCLUSIONS: Summarizes the key findings, confirms the negative relationship between analyst following/insider ownership and buyout probability, and discusses practical implications for investors and regulators.
Public-to-private transactions, London Stock Exchange, Institutional buyout, Management buyout, Cox model, Analyst following, Insider ownership, Financial visibility, Agency costs, Corporate governance, Leverage, Market-to-book ratio, Survival analysis, UK listed firms.
The thesis investigates the determinants of companies abandoning their public status on the London Stock Exchange and being bought out, with a specific focus on the roles of analyst following and executive insider ownership.
The research covers agency costs, financial visibility, corporate ownership structures, and the probability of being targeted in institutional or management buyouts.
The central research question asks: "Which factors are related to the probability of a company being taken private?"
The study utilizes the Cox proportional hazard model to analyze the conditional probability of a firm being bought out over the period from 2003 to 2013.
The work reviews theoretical literature on delisting, classifies the determinants of public-to-private transactions, presents case studies (Alliance Boots and Regent Inns), and conducts a quantitative analysis of a large sample of UK-listed firms.
Institutional buyout, Management buyout, Cox model, financial visibility, insider ownership, agency costs, and the London Stock Exchange.
The study finds support for the financial visibility hypothesis: firms followed by a higher number of analysts are less likely to be bought out, as this monitoring reduces agency costs and information asymmetry.
Contrary to some previous expectations, the empirical results show that firms with higher insider ownership (defined as shares held by executive directors) are less likely to be bought out, possibly because these managers are better able to block buyouts they view as contrary to their interests.
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