Masterarbeit, 2016
37 Seiten, Note: 3.67
1.1 BACKGROUND TO THE STUDY
1.2 STATEMENT OF RESEARCH HYPOTHESIS
2.1 Conceptual Framework
2.1.1 The Concept of Policy
2.1.2 Economic Growth
2.1.3 Fiscal Policy
2.1.4 Monetary Policy
2.2 THEORETICAL REVIEW
2.2.1 Fiscal Policy and Economic Growth
2.2.2 Monetary Policy and Economic Growth
2.3 EMPIRICAL REVIEW
3.1 RESEARCH METHOD
3.1.1 Model Specification
4.1 RESULTS AND FINDINGS
4.2 DATA ANALYSIS
5.0 Conclusions and Recommendations
The primary objective of this study is to conduct a comparative analysis to investigate the relationship between government fiscal and monetary policies and economic growth in Nigeria over the period of 1981-2014, with the aim of determining the effectiveness of these policies in stabilizing the economy.
1.1 BACKGROUND TO THE STUDY
Economic growth is a major macroeconomic objective for most economies. Among other factors which are likely to influence this objective is the issue of policies which is very cardinal in determining the growth of the economy. In theory Keynesians and Neoclassical economists provided various macroeconomic policy tools of government intervention which are broadly grouped into fiscal and monetary policies While monetary policy has to do with the process by which monetary authorities of a country controls monetary aggregates (such as money supply, interest rate, inflation rate etc.) in order to influence the economy. Fiscal policy is all about how the government uses its revenue (taxes) and expenditure (spending) to influence the economy.
The government intervenes in undertaking fundamental roles of allocation, stabilization, distribution and regulation especially where or when market proves inefficient or its outcome is socially unacceptable (Usman A. et al: 2011). An efficient policy could serve as a booster for economic growth in a nation and make it better-off while an inefficient policy producing undesired and unintended effects could impede the growth potential of an economy and make it worse-off.. This forms the rationale behind a good macroeconomic or public policy.
Most times what the government receives as revenue is usually been channeled as expenditures. Therefore when the government revenue increases it is also expected that expenditure will increase. According to the Keynesian economics when government increases expenditure and reduces tax, aggregate demand is stimulated and therefore productivity. But what determines the impact of government expenditure on economic output is dependent on the kind of expenditure it is been channeled to. Government expenditure can be productive and unproductive (or wasteful).
1.1 BACKGROUND TO THE STUDY: Outlines the importance of fiscal and monetary policies as macroeconomic tools for achieving economic growth in Nigeria.
1.2 STATEMENT OF RESEARCH HYPOTHESIS: Defines the null hypotheses regarding the influence of fiscal and monetary policies on economic growth.
2.1 Conceptual Framework: Provides theoretical definitions for policy, economic growth, fiscal policy, and monetary policy.
2.2 THEORETICAL REVIEW: Discusses the underlying Keynesian models and the theoretical relationship between government spending, money supply, and national output.
2.3 EMPIRICAL REVIEW: Examines previous studies and literature on the correlation between social/government expenditures and economic performance.
3.1 RESEARCH METHOD: Details the empirical econometric models and specifications used to analyze the variables.
4.1 RESULTS AND FINDINGS: Presents the stationarity test results and initial findings on the data properties.
4.2 DATA ANALYSIS: Uses the VECM and Wald test to evaluate the long-run and short-run impacts of the chosen policies.
5.0 Conclusions and Recommendations: Synthesizes the findings and provides policy suggestions for improving Nigerian economic performance.
Fiscal Policy, Monetary Policy, Economic Growth, Nigeria, Government Expenditure, Money Supply, Interest Rate, Gross Domestic Product, Cointegration, Vector Error Correction Model, Wald Test, Macroeconomics, Public Policy, Econometrics, Stabilization.
The research focuses on the impact of government fiscal and monetary policies on economic growth in Nigeria between 1981 and 2014.
The study examines government expenditure, money supply, and interest rates as key drivers of real gross domestic product (RGDP).
The goal is to determine whether fiscal or monetary policy is more effective in stimulating economic growth in Nigeria and to identify both short-run and long-run relationships.
The study utilizes the Johansen Cointegration test, the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM), and the Wald test of coefficients.
The main body covers the conceptual framework, theoretical and empirical reviews, model specification, data analysis, and the presentation of results regarding policy impacts.
Key terms include Fiscal Policy, Monetary Policy, Economic Growth, Nigeria, VECM, and Government Expenditure.
The Wald test results indicate that government expenditure significantly impacts real GDP in the short run.
The author concludes that while both policies are important, monetary policy is found to be more potent in the short run, while fiscal policy shows significant long-run impact.
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