Doktorarbeit / Dissertation, 2014
161 Seiten
CHAPTER 1: CONCEPTS, APPLICATIONS AND TRENDS IN DATA MINING
1.1 KNOWLEDGE DATA DISCOVERY
1.2 DATA MINING PROCESS
1.3 DATA MINING TECHNIQUE
1.3.1 Anomaly Detection
1.3.2 Association
1.3.3 Classification
1.3.4 Clustering
1.3.5 Regression
1.3.6 Summarization
1.4 HISTORY OF DATA MINING
1.5 DATA MINING PROJECT CYCLE
1.6 HOW DOES DATA MINING DIFFER FROM STATISTICAL APPROACH
1.7 APPLICATION OF DATA MINING
1.8 REFERENCES
CHAPTER 2: EDUCATIONAL DATA MINING
2.1 INTRODUCTION
2.1.1 Basic Concepts
2.1.2 Pre Processing in EDM
2.1.3 Data Mining in EDM
2.1.4 Post Processing of EDM
2.2 MAIN APPLICATIONS OF EDM METHODS
2.3 OPEN ISSUES IN EDM
2.4 MOTIVATIONAL WORK
2.5 FACT ANALYSIS IN EDM
2.6 CONCLUSION
2.7 REFERENCES
CHAPTER 3: CLASSIFICATION MODEL OF PREDICTION FOR PLACEMENT OF STUDENTS
3.1 ABSTRACT
3.2 INTRODUCTION
3.3 DATA MINING
3.3.1 Naïve Bayesian Classification
3.3.2 Multilayer Perceptron
3.3.3 C4.5 Tree
3.4 BACKGROUND AND RELATED WORK
3.5 DATA MINING PROCESS
3.5.1 Data Preparations
3.5.2 Data selection and Transformation
3.5.3 Implementation of Mining Model
3.5.4 Results
3.5.5 Discussion
3.6 CONCLUSIONS
3.7 REFERENCES
CHAPTER 4: DATA MINING TECHNIQUES IN EDM FOR PREDICTING THE PERFORMANCE OF STUDENTS
4.1 ABSTRACT
4.2 INTRODUCTION
4.3 BACKGROUND AND RELATED WORK
4.4 DATA MINING TECHNIQUES
4.4.1 OneR (Rule Learner)
4.4.2 C4.5
4.4.3 MultiLayer Perceptron
4.4.4 Nearest Neighbour algorithm
4.5 DATA MINING PROCESS
4.5.1 Data Preparations
4.5.2 Data selection and transformation
4.5.3 Implementation of Mining Model
4.5.4 Results and Discussion
4.6 CONCLUSIONS
4.7 REFERENCES
CHAPTER 5: ANALYSIS AND MINING OF EDUCATIONAL DATA FOR PREDICTING THE PERFORMANCE OF STUDENTS
5.1 ABSTRACT
5.2 INTRODUCTION
5.3 BACKGROUND AND RELATED WORK
5.4 DATA MINING TECHNIQUES
5.4.1 ID3 (Iterative Dichotomiser 3)
5.4.2 C4.5
5.4.3 Bagging
5.5 DATA MINING PROCESS
5.5.1 Data Preparations
5.5.2 Data selection and transformation
5.5.3 Implementation of Mining Model
5.5.4 Results and Discussion
5.6 CONCLUSIONS
5.7 REFERENCES
CHAPTER 6: EVALUATION OF TEACHER'S PERFORMANCE: A DATA MINING APPROACH
6.1 ABSTRACT
6.2 INTRODUCTION
6.3 DATA MINING
6.3.1 Naïve Bayes Classification
6.3.2 ID3 (Iterative Dichotomise 3)
6.3.3 CART
6.3.4 LAD Tree
6.4 BACKGROUND AND RELATED WORK
6.5 DATA MINING PROCESS
6.5.1 Data Preparations
6.5.2 Data selection and Transformation
6.5.3 Implementation of Mining Model
6.5.4 Results
6.5.5 Discussion
6.6 CONCLUSIONS
6.7 REFERENCES
CHAPTER 7: CONCLUSIONS AND DIRECTIONS FOR FUTURE RESEACH
7.1 SUMMARY OF RESULTS
7.2 DIRECTIONS FOR FUTURE RESEARCH
The primary objective of this thesis is to demonstrate the efficacy and applicability of data mining techniques in the higher education sector, specifically to predict student performance, evaluate placement potential, and assess teaching quality through the analysis of large educational datasets.
1.1 KNOWLEDGE DATA DISCOVERY
Most authors have different definitions for data mining and knowledge discovery. Goebel and Gruenwald [1] define knowledge discovery in databases (KDD) as “the nontrivial process of identifying valid, novel, potentially useful, and ultimately understandable patterns in data” and data mining as “the extraction of patterns or models from observed data.” Berzal et al. [2] define KDD as “the non-trivial extraction of potentially useful information from a large volume of data where the information is implicit (although previously unknown).” G&G’s model of KDD, paraphrased below, shows data mining as one step in the overall KDD process:
1. Identify and develop an understanding of the application domain.
2. Select the data set to be studied.
3. Select complimentary data sets. Integrate the data sets.
4. Code the data. Clean the data of duplicates and errors. Transform the data.
5. Develop models and build hypotheses.
6. Select appropriate data mining algorithms.
7. Interpret results. View results using appropriate visualization tools.
8. Test results in terms of simple proportions and complex predictions.
9. Manage the discovered knowledge.
Although data mining is only a part of the KDD process, data mining techniques provide the algorithms that fuel the KDD process. The KDD process shown above is a never-ending process. Data mining is the essence of the KDD process.
CHAPTER 1: CONCEPTS, APPLICATIONS AND TRENDS IN DATA MINING: This chapter introduces fundamental concepts, the history of data mining, and the overarching Knowledge Discovery in Databases (KDD) process.
CHAPTER 2: EDUCATIONAL DATA MINING: This chapter explores the integration of data mining into the educational sector, detailing specific EDM methods, applications, and current research challenges.
CHAPTER 3: CLASSIFICATION MODEL OF PREDICTION FOR PLACEMENT OF STUDENTS: This section investigates models for predicting student placement outcomes using various classification algorithms like Naïve Bayes and C4.5.
CHAPTER 4: DATA MINING TECHNIQUES IN EDM FOR PREDICTING THE PERFORMANCE OF STUDENTS: Focuses on the application of diverse data mining algorithms to evaluate and improve academic performance indicators.
CHAPTER 5: ANALYSIS AND MINING OF EDUCATIONAL DATA FOR PREDICTING THE PERFORMANCE OF STUDENTS: Continues the examination of performance prediction with specific focus on different data mining techniques to identify at-risk students.
CHAPTER 6: EVALUATION OF TEACHER'S PERFORMANCE: A DATA MINING APPROACH: Proposes a model to evaluate and predict teacher performance metrics based on student feedback and other institutional factors.
CHAPTER 7: CONCLUSIONS AND DIRECTIONS FOR FUTURE RESEACH: Provides a final summary of research findings and offers recommendations for future investigations in the field of Educational Data Mining.
Data Mining, Educational Data Mining (EDM), Knowledge Discovery in Databases (KDD), Classification, Prediction, Student Performance, Placement Prediction, Teacher Evaluation, Naïve Bayes, Decision Trees, J48, Machine Learning, Academic Analytics, Predictive Modeling, Institutional Data.
The research focuses on applying data mining techniques to the educational sector to extract useful information from large volumes of student and institutional data.
The study centers on Educational Data Mining (EDM), encompassing student performance prediction, placement prediction, and teacher performance evaluation.
The primary goal is to develop and evaluate processes that accurately predict student academic outcomes and placement potential, thereby assisting educational institutions in decision-making and quality improvement.
The research employs various machine learning and classification algorithms, including Naïve Bayes, C4.5, ID3, Multilayer Perceptron (MLP), and CART, among others.
The main body details the data preparation, variable selection, model implementation, and comparative performance analysis of various algorithms across different educational datasets.
Key terms include Educational Data Mining, Predictive Modeling, Classification Algorithms, Student Performance, and Teacher Appraisal.
Chapter 3 specifically develops classification models using student records to predict whether a student is likely to be placed in a professional organization, helping identify students needing additional support.
Chapter 6 proposes a data mining framework that evaluates teacher performance based on parameters like content arrangement, presentation, communication, and student attendance.
Weka is utilized throughout the research as the primary software platform to implement machine learning algorithms, process datasets, and generate visual performance metrics.
The results provide a comparative analysis of different classifiers, identifying which algorithms offer the best accuracy and efficiency for specific educational prediction tasks.
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