Masterarbeit, 2018
99 Seiten, Note: B+
1. INTRODUCTION
1.1. Background of the study
1.2. Statement of the problem
1.3. Research Questions
1.4. Objective of the study
1.5. Significance of the study
1.6. Scope and Limitation of the Study
1.7. Organization of the thesis
2. LITERATURE REVIEW
2.1. Introduction
2.2. Theoretical Literature Review
2.2.1. Definitions and Concepts of PSNP and livelihood
2.2.2. Productive safety net program of Ethiopia
2.2.3. Indicators of sustainable livelihoods
2.2.4. PSNP and Risk Management
2.3. The Empirical Studies of the Impact of PSNP
2.3.1. The Social and Economic Impacts of PSNP in Africa
2.3.2. Social and Economic Impacts of PSNP in Ethiopia
2.4. Impact assessement methods
2.4.1. Experimental evaluation method
2.4.2. Non experimental evaluation method
2.4.3. Quasi Experimental evaluation method
2.4.4. Methodologies to construct counter factual groups
2.4.5. Why PSM method for the study
2.4.6. Steps in the applications of PSM method
3. RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
3.1. Description of the study area
3.1.1. Climate and agroecology
3.1.2. Land use and farming system
3.1.3. Livestock resource
3.1.4. Rural finance
3.1.5. Crop production
3.2. Descriptions of PSNP in the woreda
3.3. Sources and Methods of Data Collection
3.4. Sample Size and Method of sampling design
3.5. Methods of Data Analysis
3.5.1. Descriptive Data Analysis
3.5.2. Econometric Analysis
3.6. Definition and measurement of Variables
3.6.1. Dependent variable
3.6.2. Outcome variables
3.6.3. Independent variables
3.7. Model Diagnostics
3.7.1. Multicollinearity Test
3.7.2. Hetroscedasticity Test
4. RESULT AND DISCUSION
4.1. Descriptive results
4.1.1. Demographic characteristics of sample households
4.1.2. Description of sample households for categorical variables
4.1.3. Descriptive statistics of outcome variables
4.2. Econometric results
4.2.1. Propensity scores estimation
4.2.2. Imposing common support region
4.2.3. Choosing a matching algorithm
4.2.4. Balancing test
4.2.5. Treatment effect on the treated
4.2.6. Sensitivity analysis
5. CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS
5.1.Conclusion
5.2.Recomendation
This study aims to evaluate the impact of the Productive Safety Net Program (PSNP) on the livelihoods of rural households in the Libo Kemkem woreda of Ethiopia. By employing Propensity Score Matching (PSM), the research seeks to compare outcomes—specifically total annual income, livestock holdings, and consumption expenditure—between program participants and non-participants to determine the efficacy of the interventions in enhancing household welfare.
1.2. Statement of the Problem
The interest in developing a safety net program in Ethiopia grows out of the fact that the emergency system in Ethiopia was failing to stabilize livelihoods. Lives were being saved but, livelihoods continued to erode. As a consequence, more and more people were in need, resulting in an overwhelming humanitarian caseload. Each emergency resulted in further asset loss and destitution. As the population lost productive assets and became less able to cope, minor events had the impact of major shocks (SC-UK, 2008). Both government and donors became convinced of the need to this program. For donors, increased interest in budget support mechanisms as well as growing support for social protection also played a part. For the government, concern that the emergency response system was encouraging dependency syndrome and unease about Ethiopia’s image as a ‘basket case’ were strong incentives (SC-UK, 2008).
In Amhara region in general, and in Libo Kemkem woreda in particular, smallholder farmers are characterized by subsistence production and suffered from complex and interrelated socio-economic problems. Shortage of farm land, recurrent drought, and environmental degradation are the most significant problems that challenge the lives of the population (PSNP PIM, 2015). Twenty two kebeles out of the twenty nine kebeles of the woreda are classified as food insecure kebeles. Among others, the regional government has allocated huge amount of resources to protect the rural communities’ asset depletion and diversifications of rural income of households. Although efforts have been made to raise agricultural crop yield, the food insecurity problem is still a major challenge in the woreda, in particular. To increase the productivity of land, the office of agriculture has been promoting adoption and diffusion of improved technologies by farmers. In particular, farmers have been advised to adopt several physical soil conservation measures.
The PSNP is a public program through which food-insecure people are employed in public work for five days a month during the agricultural slack seasons. This is intended to enable households to smooth consumption so that they will not need to sell productive assets in order to overcome food shortages. The public work is also intended to create valuable public goods; moreover, by reducing seasonal liquidity constraints, it is intended to stimulate investments (Anderson et al., 2009).
1. INTRODUCTION: Provides the background of Ethiopia's economic growth and poverty challenges, outlining the rationale, research questions, and objectives of the PSNP study.
2. LITERATURE REVIEW: Explores theoretical concepts of PSNP, sustainable livelihoods, and empirical studies on impact assessment methods, focusing on the justification for using PSM.
3. RESEARCH METHODOLOGY: Details the study area, data collection sources, sampling design, variable definitions, and the specific econometric model (PSM) used for analysis.
4. RESULT AND DISCUSION: Presents descriptive statistics and econometric results regarding the impact of PSNP on income, livestock holdings, and consumption, including sensitivity analysis.
5. CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS: Synthesizes the main findings and provides policy recommendations to enhance the effectiveness of livelihood improvements in the woreda.
Productive Safety Net Program, PSNP, Ethiopia, Libo Kemkem, Livelihood, Propensity Score Matching, Impact Assessment, Household Income, Livestock Holding, Consumption Expenditure, Food Security, Poverty Reduction, Rural Development, Smallholder Farmers, Econometric Analysis.
The research aims to empirically evaluate the impact of the Productive Safety Net Program (PSNP) on the livelihoods of rural households in Libo Kemkem, specifically examining changes in their income, livestock assets, and consumption levels.
The work covers household livelihood security, factors influencing participation in social safety nets, the efficacy of public works programs, and sustainable livelihood indicators.
The study utilizes both descriptive statistics and an econometric Propensity Score Matching (PSM) technique to compare participant and non-participant households.
The main body includes a literature review of theoretical and empirical studies, a description of the methodology and study area, an analysis of the results through PSM, and final recommendations based on the findings.
Participants are largely smallholder farmers in food-insecure kebeles who are generally characterized by smaller landholdings and higher dependence on aid compared to non-participants.
The research is best characterized by terms such as PSNP, impact assessment, livelihood, rural development, propensity score matching, and food security in Ethiopia.
PSM was selected because it is effective in non-experimental settings for constructing a counterfactual group, allowing for a comparative assessment of outcomes between program participants and non-participants where baseline data is absent.
The study found that program participants experienced significantly higher total annual income (59.1%), increased livestock assets (14.09%), and higher consumption expenditure (22.61%) compared to non-participants.
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