Masterarbeit, 2017
68 Seiten, Note: 3.0
This dissertation explores the potential economic implications of Scottish independence on the Scottish electricity market. It aims to determine whether Scotland would be better off operating within the UK framework or as an independent nation from an economic perspective. The study utilizes an econometric approach (VAR model) to analyze the electricity market and consumer behavior in Scotland, considering various scenarios and potential repercussions of independence.
This research centers around the key concepts of Scottish independence, the electricity market, econometrics, VAR model, economic implications, consumer behavior, alternative scenarios, and potential repercussions.
Independence could lead to changes in pricing, regulatory frameworks, and the cross-border trade of energy between Scotland and the rest of the UK. This dissertation uses a VAR model to analyze these economic implications.
The VAR model is an econometric approach used to capture the linear interdependencies among multiple time series data, helping to forecast the impact of independence on electricity market variables.
The study evaluates whether the integrated UK market provides more stability and lower costs for Scottish consumers compared to a potentially smaller, independent Scottish market.
Scotland is a major producer of renewable energy. Independence raises questions about continued subsidies from the UK-wide framework and the ability to export surplus green energy effectively.
Since independence has not occurred yet, historical data for an "independent Scotland" does not exist. The study overcomes this by using scenarios and impulse response functions to predict potential outcomes.
These functions describe the reaction of the electricity market (like prices or demand) over time to an external "shock," such as the policy change resulting from independence.
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