Masterarbeit, 2018
99 Seiten, Note: 1.0
1 Introduction
1.1 Problem
1.2 Goal of the Thesis
1.3 Methodology
2 Literature
2.1 Asymmetries and Power
2.2 Actorness in Interregionalism
2.2.1 Types of Interregional Relations
2.2.2 Institutionalization
3 Methodology
3.1 Qualitative Comparative Analysis
3.2 Fuzzy-Set QCA
3.2 Operationalization of Depth
3.3 Sample and Case Selection
3.4 Methodology for the case study
4 The Empirical Chapter
4.1 Measurement of the Conditions
4.1.1 Condition 1: Asymmetric Power
4.1.2 Condition 2: Actorness
4.2 Results of the QCA-Model
4.2.1 Fuzzy-set membership and calibration
4.2.2 Tests for Necessity and Sufficiency – transformational calibration
4.2.3 Tests for direct calibration
4.2.4 Assessment of the Results
4.3 Case Study: The EFTA-Central America PTA
4.4 Future PTAs: A short prognosis
5 Conclusion and further remarks
This thesis investigates the conditions for deep economic integration within regio-regio Preferential Trade Agreements (PTAs). By analyzing ten interregional cases, the study addresses the overarching research question of how power asymmetries and the actorness of regional organizations influence the depth of integration in trade deals, particularly outside the traditional multilateral framework of the WTO.
2.1 Asymmetries and Power
Political scientists see the sources for liberal trade less in the welfare effects of trade itself, but more in the power structures of the international arena, especially the power asymmetry between states. Global economic decline, but also the fall of hegemonies cause the rise of regional trade agreements (Mansfield 1998: 537). International trade relations, dependencies and power are deeply interlinked. The best situation for country A is to be an (almost) irreplaceable trading partner. If it is extremely costly for countries to trade with other countries than A or to replace A as a supplier or demander, scholars speak of asymmetric dependence in the field of trade (Hirschman 1980: 13-18). Such dependencies give country A power over its trading partners, making “commerce […] an alternative to war” (Ibid.: 15), because they can affect the economic wellbeing of their partners quite directly. This makes trade an instrument for coercion.
The power to coerce other actors at an acceptable cost to do something they would not do otherwise is one of the most basic definitions of power (e.g. in Keohane and Nye, 1999: 11). For Keohane and Nye (ibid.: 8-11) interdependence is a key structural element of international relations to understand power asymmetries. Interdependence is the state of mutual dependence, but not limited to beneficial cases of mutual dependence only. The standard cases are asymmetric dependent relations between states, meaning that country A needs country B more than vice versa for some reason. In these asymmetric relations lie the roots of power in the international arena.
1 Introduction: Discusses the current state of free trade, the rise of protectionism, and defines the problem of regionalism and the research goals regarding interregional PTAs.
2 Literature: Reviews the debate on multilateralism versus regionalism and introduces the key concepts of power asymmetry and actorness in the context of interregionalism.
3 Methodology: Explains the Qualitative Comparative Analysis (QCA) method and the operationalization of depth and condition indicators for the study.
4 The Empirical Chapter: Details the measurement of conditions, presents the results of the QCA model, and provides a specific case study on the EFTA-Central America PTA.
5 Conclusion and further remarks: Summarizes the findings on sufficient conditions for deep PTAs and reflects on the limitations and future prospects for interregional trade integration.
Interregionalism, Preferential Trade Agreements, PTAs, Regional Organizations, Qualitative Comparative Analysis, QCA, Asymmetry, Power, Actorness, Economic Integration, World Trade System, Trade Dependency, Regio-Regio, Multilateralism, Regional Trade Agreements.
The thesis focuses on explaining the conditions that lead to "deep integration" in trade agreements negotiated between regional organizations or groups of countries, known as regio-regio or interregional PTAs.
The study centers on the concepts of power asymmetry between negotiating parties and the actorness of the involved regional organizations, examining how these factors influence the outcomes of trade negotiations.
The goal is to determine whether high levels of power asymmetry or high levels of regional actorness are sufficient or necessary conditions for achieving deep integration in trade agreements.
The author employs a Qualitative Comparative Analysis (QCA), specifically a fuzzy-set QCA model, to compare ten interregional PTAs and identify causal patterns.
The main body covers the theoretical debate between regionalism and multilateralism, the definition and measurement of conditions (asymmetry and actorness), the empirical QCA modeling, and a qualitative case study on the EFTA-Central America PTA.
Key terms include Interregionalism, Preferential Trade Agreements (PTAs), Qualitative Comparative Analysis, Asymmetry, Actorness, and economic integration.
The author identified this PTA as a "deviant case" within the QCA model, as it demonstrated deep integration despite low scores for asymmetry and actorness, necessitating a more detailed investigation into the bargaining process.
The author uses the "Design of Trade Agreements" (DESTA) database, which quantifies PTA depth using an additive index based on provisions beyond tariff reductions, such as intellectual property, services, and public procurement.
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