Brexit and the potential consequences for the United Kingdom and for the European Union

Inhaltsverzeichnis (Table of Contents)

• Introduction
• Background Information
• Structure of This Work
• EU Referendum
• Who Has Voted
• Article 50 of the Treaty on the European Union
• Differentiation between Soft and Hard Brexit
• Soft Brexit
• Hard Brexit
• Advantages and Disadvantages
• Current Status of the Negotiations
• Political Implications
• Fear of Further Withdrawals
• Consequences for British Regions
• Economic Consequences
• Monetary System
• The Brexit Bill
• Banking and Financial Sectors
• Migration and the Labour Market
• Trade
• Trade in Goods and Services
• Trade Restrictions
• Tariffs
• Non-Tariff Barriers
• Welfare Effects
• Review of the Literature
• My Structural Gravity Model
• Data
• Results
• Conclusions

Zielsetzung und Themenschwerpunkte (Objectives and Key Themes)

This master thesis explores the potential consequences of Brexit for both the United Kingdom and the European Union. It examines the different Brexit models and their potential impacts on the economy, politics, and trade relations between the two entities.

• The impact of Brexit on the UK and EU economies
• The political implications of Brexit, including potential consequences for other EU member states
• The effects of Brexit on trade between the UK and EU
• The implications of Brexit for migration and the labor market
• The welfare effects of Brexit

Zusammenfassung der Kapitel (Chapter Summaries)

• Introduction: This chapter provides background information on Brexit and outlines the structure of the thesis.
• EU Referendum: This chapter explores the UK's decision to leave the EU, focusing on the voting process and the implications of Article 50 of the Treaty on European Union.
• Differentiation between Soft and Hard Brexit: This chapter examines the different models for Brexit, including the potential benefits and drawbacks of each model.
• Current Status of the Negotiations: This chapter provides an overview of the current state of the negotiations between the UK and EU.
• Political Implications: This chapter explores the potential political consequences of Brexit, including the fear of further withdrawals from the EU and the impact on British regions.
• Economic Consequences: This chapter analyzes the potential economic consequences of Brexit, focusing on the monetary system, migration and the labor market.
• Trade: This chapter examines the potential effects of Brexit on trade between the UK and EU, including the implications of tariffs and non-tariff barriers.
• Welfare Effects: This chapter explores the potential welfare effects of Brexit using a structural gravity model.

Schlüsselwörter (Keywords)

This master thesis focuses on the implications of Brexit for both the UK and the EU. Key areas of analysis include the impact of Brexit on trade, the economic consequences, the political ramifications, and the welfare effects. Specific topics explored include the differentiation between soft and hard Brexit, the negotiation process, the monetary system, migration and the labor market, and the role of tariffs and non-tariff barriers.