Masterarbeit, 2019
18 Seiten
Geowissenschaften / Geographie - Meteorologie, Aeronomie, Klimatologie
1. Introduction
2. Materials and Methods
2.1 Descriptions of the study area
2.2 Methods of data analysis
3. Results and Discussions
3.1 The spatial and temporal distribution and pattern of rainfall climatology
3.2 Variability of Onset, cessation and Length of the Growing Period (LGP)
3.3 Number of rainy days
3.4 Trend Analysis of Annual and Seasonal Rainfall
3.5 Correlation of Rainfall to SST
4. Conclusions and Recommendations
5. References
This study aims to examine the spatial-temporal variability of rainfall over western Oromia, Ethiopia, and to investigate the statistical relationship between local precipitation patterns and sea surface temperatures (SSTs) to better inform agricultural and hydrological management.
3.1 The spatial and temporal distribution and pattern of rainfall climatology
Mean annual and kiremt rainfall distribution over Western Oromia increases toward the central portion of the area from the east and west because of the local topography. The annual rainfall climatology is characterized by large spatial variations which range from less than 1277mm/year over West Wollega to 2070mm/year over East Wollega zone. Seasonally, 291.8 to 532.9 mm, 729.3 to 1325.6 mm and 144.2 to 317.7 mm contribution come from Belg, kiremit and bega respectively (Table 3). During the Kiremt season (JJAS), the central parts of the study area received high rainfall up to 78% (Nekemt) of the annual rainfall and its distributions decreases to 53% southward both from the east and west (Illubabor & jimma zones. Inversely, Belg (FMAM) &Bega (ONDJ) seasonal rainfall increases southward from east and west (Illubabor&jimma zones) upto 30% and 17% of the annual rainfall respectively and this is due to ITCZ position. (Figures 2). The mean Belg and Bega rainfall varies from 320mm (at WW & EW) to 530mm (at Jimma & Illubabor) and from140mm to 317mm over the Wollega and Jimma and illubabor areas, respectively. The Belg and Bega rainfall over Jimma & Illubabor zones is higher than the main rainy season fall in the lowland areas of Ethiopia as studies by Wagesho (2013) and Misganaw (2014).
1. Introduction: Discusses the significance of climate variability and its critical impact on agricultural productivity and food security in Ethiopia.
2. Materials and Methods: Describes the study area, the datasets used (gauge data and SSTs), and the statistical techniques for trend and correlation analysis.
3. Results and Discussions: Presents the findings regarding rainfall climatology, trends in seasonal precipitation, variability in growing periods, and associations with sea surface temperatures.
4. Conclusions and Recommendations: Synthesizes the core findings and suggests further research paths for climate-related studies in the region.
5. References: Provides a comprehensive list of literature and sources consulted for the study.
SSTs, climate change, season, Onset, cessation, length of growing period, rainfall variability, western Oromia, Ethiopia, Mann-Kendall test, agriculture, hydrological management, ITCZ, precipitation, climatology.
The research focuses on analyzing the spatial and temporal variability of rainfall in western Oromia, Ethiopia, and determining how these patterns relate to global sea surface temperatures.
The study covers rainfall climatology, seasonal trends, the onset and cessation of rain, the length of the growing period (LGP), and the statistical influence of SSTs on regional precipitation.
The primary goal is to provide reliable climate data to support agricultural planning, crop production management, and hydrological design in the study region.
The study utilizes the Inverse Distance Weighting (IDW) method, the Mann-Kendall trend test, Sen's slope estimator, and Pearson’s correlation coefficient for statistical evaluation.
It details the geographical and climatic characteristics of the study area, provides statistical analysis of rainfall patterns from 1985 to 2016, and maps the correlations between rainfall anomalies and SSTs.
Key terms include SSTs, climate change, rainfall variability, onset, cessation, and length of growing period (LGP).
The onset is defined as a period receiving 20mm of rainfall over three consecutive days, without being followed by a dry spell of more than ten days within the next 30 days.
The study finds that sea surface temperatures in the central and tropical eastern Pacific have a negative correlation with Kiremt (summer) rainfall in western Oromia, suggesting a teleconnection that influences regional water availability.
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