Bachelorarbeit, 2017
28 Seiten, Note: 2.0
1.0.0 INTRODUCTION
1.1.0 Background
1.2.0 Problem Statement
1.3.0 Justification
1.4.0 GENERAL OBJECTIVES
1.5.0 Specific Objective
1.6.0 Research Question
1.7.0 Hypotheses Statements
1.8.0 Scope of Study
1.9.0 Limitation
2.0.0 Literature review
2.1.0 Malaria in Zambia
2.2.0 Malaria transmission and illness
2.3.0 Factors associated with malaria illness
2.4.0 Conceptual Framework
3.0.0 Methodology
3.1.0 Sample design
3.2 Variable definition; table 2
3.3.0 Model estimation Technique
3.4.0 Justification for choice of probit model
4.0.0 FINDINGS
4.1.0 Introduction
4.2.0 Data presentation
4.2.1 Proportional presentation of malaria distribution across selected factors
4.3.0 Summary of Diagnostic Test
4.4.0 Probit Regression Model With Robust Standard Errors
4.5.0 Marginal effects of probit analysis
4.5.1 The extent of socioeconomic factors influence on malaria
4.6.0 Hypothesis testing
5.0.0 DISCUSSION
5.1.0 Socio economic factors influencing malaria among children under five
5.1.1 Statistically significant factors
5.1.2 Statistically insignificant factors
5.2.0 Conclusion
5.3.0 Recommendations
6.0.0 REFRENCE
The primary goal of this research is to investigate the socioeconomic determinants of malaria incidence among children under the age of five in Zambia. By analyzing secondary data from the 2013/14 Zambia Demographic and Health Survey, the study seeks to quantify how factors such as maternal education, household wealth, and child age influence the probability of malaria occurrence.
1.1.0 Background
Malaria is an entrenched global health challenge particularly in the sub-Saharan African countries. An estimated 219 million cases of malaria and 660,000 malaria deaths occurred worldwide in 2010, (WHO: World malaria report, 2012). Approximately 80% of malaria episodes and 90% of the deaths were reported from the African continent according to the 2012 world malaria report. Endemic malaria results in tremendous economic losses annually and is a central element of the vicious cycle of poverty in many developing countries. International funding for malaria control rose to a peak of USD 1.84 billion in 2012,World malaria report (2012) . The world malaria report of 2011 shows an estimated 655,000 malaria deaths in the world, majority of which were under-five children from Africa . Thus, it remains a leading cause of death in children under five years (Sutcliffe CG, 2012). The World Health Organization and United Nations Children’s Education Fund (UNICEF, 2008) also indicate in the African Malaria Report that over 3,000 children die from malaria in Africa daily with a child dying every 30 seconds.
Malaria prevention and control in Zambia commenced in 1952. Since then great progress have been achieved, however, malaria still kills more children under the age of five than any other disease. It affects more than 4 million Zambians annually (UNICEF, 2008), causing 30% of outpatient visits resulting into about 8000 deaths each year. Under five children and pregnant women are most vulnerable with 35 to 50 percent child mortality and 20 percent maternal mortality, (Asenso-Okyere, 2003). Overall, the 2012 malaria indicator survey MIS shows that malaria parasite prevalence was 14.9% with more parasitaemia among children in rural areas (20.2%) compared to urban areas (13.7%). On average, parasitaemia prevalence peaked among children aged four years and was highest in Luapula province (32.1%) and in the lowest wealth quintile (27.4%), (MIS, 2012).
1.0.0 INTRODUCTION: Provides the background and problem statement regarding malaria as a significant health burden in Zambia, highlighting the focus on children under five.
2.0.0 Literature review: Reviews existing literature on malaria transmission, the socioeconomic factors associated with the disease, and establishes the conceptual framework.
3.0.0 Methodology: Outlines the data source from the 2013/14 Zambia Demographic and Health Survey and describes the probit model used for analysis.
4.0.0 FINDINGS: Presents the proportional analysis and the results of the probit regression, detailing how socioeconomic variables influence malaria probability.
5.0.0 DISCUSSION: Interprets the statistical results, confirms the significant influence of socioeconomic factors, and provides policy recommendations.
Malaria, Children under five, Zambia, Socioeconomic determinants, Probit regression, Maternal education, Household wealth, Public health, Disease prevalence, Demographic and Health Survey, Vector control, Parasitaemia, Child mortality, Health policy, Economic status.
The study investigates the socioeconomic factors that influence the incidence of malaria among children under five years old in Zambia.
The research explores the impact of maternal education, household wealth, child age, and socioeconomic status on malaria prevalence.
To analyze to what extent social and economic factors influence malaria episodes in households, establishing the probability of malaria occurrence in children under five.
The study uses a probit regression analysis on secondary data obtained from the 2013/14 Zambia Demographic and Health Survey.
It covers the background, literature review, methodology, data presentation, and the statistical analysis of variables influencing malaria.
Key terms include malaria, socioeconomic determinants, Zambia, probit regression, and under-five mortality.
The findings indicate that mothers with no education increase the probability of a child having malaria, whereas higher education levels significantly reduce this risk.
The analysis suggests that poor households are more likely to have children with malaria, confirming that lower economic status is linked to higher disease vulnerability.
Yes, the study shows that the probability of a child having malaria reduces as the child gets older within the under-five age group.
While malaria is prevalent, the study highlights that individual and household socioeconomic conditions are more critical drivers of prevalence than geography alone.
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