Japan's (UN)certain future? Permanent membership on the United Nations Security Council - A Delphi Study

Inhaltsverzeichnis (Table of Contents)

• INTRODUCTION
• THE DELPHI TECHNIQUE: GENERAL REMARKS ON METHODOLOGY
  • Origin and Fields of Application
  • Definition and Classification - an Attempt
  • Potential and Limits
• CONTEXTUAL EMBEDDING OF JAPAN'S CANDIDATURE
  • Security Council Reform - a Precondition
    • The Security Council: Composition, Functions and Powers
    • Why Reform?
    • Security Council Reform Discussions: Development and Content
  • Japan's Quest for Permanent Security Council Membership
    • Credentials and Motives
    • Japan's Pursuit of its Quest
    • National and International Support
    • Japan's UN policy
• JAPAN A PERMANENT MEMBER ON THE SECURITY COUNCIL? RESULTS OF A DELPHI STUDY
  • The Delphi Technique in the Context of the Present Study
    • Aims
    • Type
    • Resources
  • Participants
    • Structure of the Panel of Experts
    • Scope of the Panel of Experts
    • Recruitment of the Experts
    • The Final Panel
  • Questionnaire
    • Structure and Scope
    • Type of Questions
    • Technical Implementation
    • The Final Questionnaire
  • Implementation and Evaluation of the Study
    • First and Second Wave of Inquiry
    • The Feedback
    • The Dropout Rate
    • Changes in Expert Opinion between the First and the Second Wave
  • Results
    • Japan's Prospect of Becoming a Permanent Security Council Member
    • Japan's Continuing Pursuit of its Quest
    • Development of National and International Support
    • Japan's Future UN Policy

Zielsetzung und Themenschwerpunkte (Objectives and Key Themes)

This study aims to analyze Japan's potential candidacy for permanent membership on the UN Security Council using the Delphi technique. It examines the historical context, analyzes the current situation, and explores potential future scenarios.

• Security Council reform and its impact on Japan's candidacy
• Japan's credentials and motives for pursuing permanent membership
• National and international support for Japan's bid
• The potential consequences of Japan becoming a permanent member
• The potential consequences of Japan not becoming a permanent member

Zusammenfassung der Kapitel (Chapter Summaries)

The introduction sets the stage for the study, outlining Japan's aspiration for a permanent seat on the UN Security Council. Chapter 2 dives into the Delphi technique, its origins, application, potential, and limitations. Chapter 3 provides contextual background, exploring Security Council reform and Japan's historical quest for permanent membership, including its motivations, achievements, and challenges.

Schlüsselwörter (Keywords)

This study focuses on Japan, the UN Security Council, permanent membership, Security Council reform, the Delphi technique, national and international support, and future scenarios.