Masterarbeit, 2005
48 Seiten, Note: Pass with Honours
Chapter 1 Introduction
1.1. Scope and Research Objectives
1.2. Conceptual Framework, Method and Materials
1.3. Limitations of the Study
1.4. Literature Review
Chapter 2 Climate Change: The reality of a warming planet
2.1. Introduction
2.2. The Tragedy of the Global Commons
2.3. The Science of Climate Change
2.4. Historical Development
2.4.1. Consensus Building
2.4.2. Consolidation of Expert Knowledge
2.4.3. The Road to New York
2.5. Establishment of a Global Climate Regime
Chapter 3 The Precautionary Principle
3.1. Introduction
3.2. The Origin of the Precautionary Principle
3.3. Historical Development
3.4. The Precautionary Principle under Climate Change Regime
3.5. Different Formulations of Precaution
3.6. Criteria for Precautionary Action
3.7. Issues and Defences
3.8. Analysis of the Definition of Precautionary Principle under International Law
3.9. Standard of Proof
Chapter 4 The Precautionary Principle and Climate Change
4.1. Uncertainty factor
4.2. The Precautionary Approach to global warming
4.3. Wait-and-see Approach
4.4. Impacts of Global Warming
4.5. The Role of Global Community
Chapter 5 The Precautionary Principle and International Law
5.1. Introduction
5.2. Sources of international Law
5.3. Customary International Law
5.4. Definition and Elements of International Custom
5.5. Analysis of the Precautionary Principle as Custom
Chapter 6. Conclusions
The primary objective of this thesis is to critically evaluate the legal role of the precautionary principle within the international legal system, specifically addressing its application in global climate efforts and its potential status as a binding international custom. The study explores whether this principle has transitioned from a policy framework into a recognized normative doctrine in international law.
3.6. Criteria for Precautionary Action
As argued by Sandin (2002: 7), there are three criteria for precautionary action: (1) intentionality criterion; (2) uncertainty criterion, and; (3) reasonableness criterion. Firstly, accidental avoidance of known or unknown danger cannot be considered precautionary. There is precautionary action with respect to an activity deemed harmful only if the action is performed with the intention of preventing the specific undesirable (Ibid: 4). In the words of the EC, there has to be a ‘political decision to act or not to act as such, which is linked to the factors triggering recourse to the precautionary principle’ (European Commission, 2000: 13). Secondly, precaution only applies to circumstances involving an unknown or uncertain harm (Ibid, 6). An example of this is the use of precautionary gears when confronted with an unfamiliar substance which may or may not be toxic. Lastly, an action is precautionary if it meets the reasonableness criterion (Ibid: 7). An act, for it to be precautionary, must be based on reason and not just on the personal beliefs and convictions of the actor. Thus, as Sandin (2002: 7) summarized it,
“an action a is precautionary with respect to something undesirable u, if and only if, (1) a is performed with the intention of preventing u; (2) the agent does not believe it to be very probable that u will occur if a is not performed, and; (3) the agent has externally good reasons for believing that u might occur, for believing that a will in fact at least contribute to the prevention of u, and for not believing it to be certain or highly probable that u will occur if a is not performed” (Ibid: 8).
Chapter 1 Introduction: Provides an overview of the research scope, objectives, and the methodological foundation using legal positivism to analyze the precautionary principle.
Chapter 2 Climate Change: The reality of a warming planet: Examines the scientific and historical context of climate change and its framing as a "Tragedy of the Global Commons."
Chapter 3 The Precautionary Principle: Details the origins, historical development, various formulations, and critical issues surrounding the principle within international legal frameworks.
Chapter 4 The Precautionary Principle and Climate Change: Analyzes the specific application of the principle to climate change, including the uncertainty factor and contrasting policy approaches like "wait-and-see" versus "no regrets."
Chapter 5 The Precautionary Principle and International Law: Evaluates the status of the principle as customary international law through the lens of state practice and opinio juris.
Chapter 6. Conclusions: Synthesizes the findings, confirming the emergence of the precautionary principle as a significant, though politically contested, norm in international environmental governance.
Precautionary principle, climate change, international law, customary international law, uncertainty, treaties, environmental policy, greenhouse gases, state practice, opinio juris, sustainable development, risk assessment, international regimes, legal positivism, precautionary approach.
The thesis focuses on the legal standing and application of the precautionary principle in international law, specifically within the context of global climate change initiatives.
Key themes include the legal definition of precaution, its role in mitigating global environmental risks despite scientific uncertainty, and the distinction between "strong" and "weak" formulations of the principle.
The research asks how the precautionary principle is defined under international conventional law, its relevance to the climate regime, and whether it has emerged as a binding international custom.
The work employs a legal positivist methodology, analyzing law through its sources and the actual practice of states, while incorporating multidisciplinary insights from environmental studies and systems thinking.
The main body covers the historical development of climate change negotiations, an analysis of the "uncertainty factor," the contrast between "wait-and-see" and "no regrets" policy approaches, and the legal evidence for customary norm status.
The work is defined by terms such as precautionary principle, climate change, customary international law, state practice, and opinio juris.
The author concludes that under international law, the basic formulation is: if there is a risk or threat of serious and unacceptable damage, reasonable precautionary action should be taken despite a lack of full scientific certainty.
The author argues that there is sufficient evidence of state practice and opinio juris—manifested through numerous multilateral environmental agreements and national policies—to suggest the emergence of the principle as a binding international custom.
The thesis acknowledges the debate but limits its formal analysis to the "weak" version, as this is the formulation consistently adopted in current international treaties and ministerial declarations.
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