Masterarbeit, 2019
65 Seiten, Note: 10
1-Introduction
2- Review of Literature
2.1. Review of theoretical literature
2.1.1 Energy Security
2.1.2 Food Security
2.1.3 Political Stability
2.2. Review of empirical literature
3- Research Design
3.1 Hypothesis
3.2 Panel methods
3.3 Methodology
3.4 Data
3.4.1 Independent variables
3.4.2 Dependent variable
3.5 Global Peace Index
4-Results and Discussion
5-Conclusion
This study aims to assess the nexus between food and energy security and their impact on political stability within countries, advocating for a deeper integration of these resources into conflict management frameworks. The research utilizes empirical panel data analysis to investigate whether ensuring food and energy security contributes to a more stable political environment.
1-Introduction
Suffering, mutilation and death of human beings are the most obvious and important effects of all conflicts, as well as natural disasters. Yet, material losses are also important because they reduce the livelihood and recovery capacities of conflict survivors. Moreover, in many cases, the indirect effects of conflict cause more deaths than direct violence. It has been found that generally the indirect costs of war are greater than its direct costs and persist long after the end of the conflict. Instability and conflict affect many economic sectors such as reducing foreign exchange earnings, which can have serious consequences for development and food security. Indeed, global population growth combined with the effects of climate change on agriculture pose the risk of a Malthusian trap to humanity that can only be avoided by a more efficient and sustainable production system. Energy security policies and climate policies are often considered as two sides of the same coin, their objectives being at least complementary, if not identical.
In the year of 2000 the Millennium Summit of the United Nations established eight international development goals. At that time the strategic plan was to work on realizing these objectives by the year 2015. The determined goals were fighting poverty, improving education, promoting gender equality, improving the health situation of people in the world, ensuring sustainability and especially encouraging strong worldwide partnership for development (MDGs, UN 2015). In order to assess this MDGs 2015 plan and help understanding why some outlined objectives are still not reached in a satisfactory manner, this study will contribute to the path of scientific recommendation to policy makers and strategic planners. To help achieving these goals in the future there is a need for understanding how stability could be realized.
1-Introduction: Discusses the overarching impacts of conflict on economic and social stability, framing food and energy security as essential, interlinked elements for global well-being and peace.
2- Review of Literature: Provides a comprehensive overview of the theoretical and empirical debates surrounding energy security, food security, and political stability, highlighting their complex interactions.
3- Research Design: Outlines the methodology and data structure, introducing the hypothesis that food and energy security positively affect political stability and detailing the variables used for testing.
4-Results and Discussion: Presents the empirical findings from the panel fixed effect regression models, interpreting the significance of energy imports, food deficits, and institutional quality on global stability indices.
5-Conclusion: Synthesizes the study's findings, reiterating the necessity of sustainable resource management and strong institutions for maintaining political stability and global peace.
Political Stability, Food Security, Energy Security, Fixed Effect, Panel Data, Conflict Management, Economic Growth, Global Peace Index, Institutional Quality, Energy Imports, Resource Rent, Governance, Sustainability.
The research examines the relationship between food and energy security and their combined impact on the political stability of countries globally.
The central variables include energy imports (as a proxy for energy insecurity) and food deficit per capita (as a proxy for food insecurity), alongside control variables like GDP, institutional quality, and corruption.
The main question is whether achieving food and energy security significantly contributes to the realization of a stable political system within a nation.
The study applies a panel fixed effect regression technique to analyze longitudinal data from more than 150 countries spanning the years 2008 to 2016.
The main section covers the theoretical grounding, the formulation of hypotheses, the description of variables sourced from the World Bank, and the interpretation of the results through various regression models.
The key themes are political stability, food/energy security, institutional quality, and empirical panel data analysis.
The GPI serves as the primary dependent variable, functioning as an accurate, composite measure of internal and external peace and stability for the countries studied.
Institutional quality is analyzed using World Governance Indicators (WGI), specifically focusing on the Rule of Law and Voice and Accountability, to test their mediating effect on political stability.
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